ATI Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
ATI - ATI Inc.
$120.30
-1.42 (-1.17%)
▼
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Last Updated: January 30, 2026
Earnings: Feb 03, 2026
2d
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1 traders called ATI this week
100% bullish • 0 bearish
100% bullish • 0 bearish
Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: ATI shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 2.3% annual growth which appears achievable. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: ATI shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 2.3% annual growth which appears achievable. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$176.86
Based on 13.0% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$109.82
Trading above fair value
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: ATI is currently trading at $120.30, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $117.63 to $124.00. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 31.4) is in line with its historical norms (29.3). At these levels, the market is pricing in 2.3% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, ATI is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $117.19. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, ATI is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $117.19. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Fair Price Range
$117.63 -
$124.00
Company Quality Score
59/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
68.6%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($133.00)
- NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 2.3% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
Fair Price Analysis
30-Day Fair Range
$117.63 -
$124.00
Current vs Fair Value
FAIR
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$117.19
Resistance Level
$126.48
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
31.38
Wall Street Target
$133.00
(+9.3%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
7.1%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
36.2%
Profit Margin
9.7%
Valuation Premium vs History
+2.3% premium
PE vs Historical
31.4 vs 29.3
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+2.3%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$124.52
(+2%)
2-Year Target
$127.38
(+5%)
3-Year Target
$130.31
(+7%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 31→29)
PE COMPRESSION
$121.67
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 31.4, Growth: 21.9%)
$220.23
(+81%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 22.3, Growth: 21.9%)
$156.49
(+29%)
Bear:
(PE: 19.0, Growth: 21.9%)
$133.02
(+9%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (39x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (31x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 39.26 | Current EPS (TTM): $3.10
Bull Case
$167.52
(+39%)
Analyst growth 25.1%, PE expands to 43.2
Base Case
$152.29
(+27%)
Market implied 25.1%, PE stable at 39.3
Bear Case
$82.77
(-31%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 33.4
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Last updated: January 31, 2026 2:42 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 3:42 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 3:42 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is ATI showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
5
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Kimberly A Fields
SELL
21153 shares
2025-10-15
Kimberly A Fields
SELL
21154 shares
2025-10-06
Kimberly A Fields
SELL
20312 shares
2025-09-22
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