ESAB Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
ESAB - ESAB Corporation
$88.60
-2.57 (-2.82%)
▼
5d:
-12.23%
30d:
-10.44%
90d:
-34.28%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: May 15, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: May 07, 2026
0d
Get Alerted When ESAB Hits Your Target Price
Join 10,000+ traders who never miss a move
You're in! Check your email to confirm and set your target price.
100% Free
No spam, ever
Unsubscribe anytime
Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
Loading chart...
Loading historical data...
Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: ESAB shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
📊 HOLD: ESAB shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$172.68
Based on 8.2% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$107.22
17.4% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 18.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: ESAB is currently trading at $88.60, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $94.94 to $104.73. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 13.6) compared to its historical average (18.0). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 8.8% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, ESAB is in a strong downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $88.22. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: ESAB has a weak technical setup (25/100), with bearish trendlines and momentum suggesting caution for short-term entries. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $136.00 (+53.5%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, ESAB is in a strong downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $88.22. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: ESAB has a weak technical setup (25/100), with bearish trendlines and momentum suggesting caution for short-term entries. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $136.00 (+53.5%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$94.94 -
$104.73
Company Quality Score
54/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
57.1%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (25/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 53.5% below Wall St target ($136.00)
- CAUTION: 5-day price weakness (-12.2%) - monitor closely
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$94.94 -
$104.73
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$88.23
Resistance Level
$105.64
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
May 15, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
13.64
Wall Street Target
$136.00
(+53.5%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
9.9%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-28.9%
Profit Margin
7.1%
Valuation Discount vs History
-8.8% cheaper
PE vs Historical
13.6 vs 18.0
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-8.8%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$80.80
(-9%)
2-Year Target
$73.69
(-17%)
3-Year Target
$67.21
(-24%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 14→18)
$88.69
(+0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.1, Growth: 12.3%)
$202.83
(+129%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 13.6, Growth: 12.3%)
$125.35
(+42%)
Bear:
(PE: 11.6, Growth: 12.3%)
$106.55
(+20%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (23x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (14x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 23.31 | Current EPS (TTM): $3.78
Bull Case
$166.54
(+88%)
Analyst growth 71.8%, PE expands to 25.6
Base Case
$151.40
(+71%)
Market implied 71.8%, PE stable at 23.3
Bear Case
$59.91
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 19.8
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 13.6 to 18.0
Stabilization Target:
$116.93
(+32.0%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+32.0%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: May 18, 2026 5:59 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:59 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:59 AM
🔥 Top Stocks Breaking Out Now
| Ticker | Score | Recommendation | Change % |
|---|
Technical Signals Check
Is ESAB showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
1
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Shyam Kambeyanda
SELL
59404 shares
2026-02-23
Top Rated Metal Fabrication Stocks
Top-rated stocks in Metal Fabrication by analyst ratings.
| Stock | Analyst Consensus | Analyst Target | Tradestie Score |
|---|---|---|---|
|
ATI
Allegheny Technologies I… |
STRONG BUY
11 analysts |
$180 | 62 BUY |
|
CMPO
CompoSecure, Inc. |
STRONG BUY
8 analysts |
$26 | 59 HOLD |
|
CRS
Carpenter Technology Cor… |
STRONG BUY
7 analysts |
$457 | 59 HOLD |
|
CMC
Commercial Metals Company |
SELL
11 analysts |
$79 | 58 HOLD |
|
PRLB
Proto Labs Inc |
HOLD
5 analysts |
$76 | 64 BUY |
