AUB Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
AUB - Atlantic Union Bankshares Corporation
$38.84
-0.36 (-0.92%)
▼
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Last Updated: January 30, 2026
Earnings: Apr 22, 2026
Get Alerted When AUB Hits Your Target Price
Join 10,000+ traders who never miss a move
You're in! Check your email to confirm and set your target price.
100% Free
No spam, ever
Unsubscribe anytime
Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
Loading chart...
Loading historical data...
Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: AUB shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
📊 HOLD: AUB shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$51.45
Based on 5.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$31.95
Trading above fair value
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 9.8x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: AUB is currently trading at $38.84, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $36.11 to $38.81. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 9.6) is in line with its historical norms (9.8). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 0.5% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 30.0% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, AUB is in a uptrend. Immediate support is located at $37.26, while resistance sits at $40.71.
Market Sentiment: AUB has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $44.44 (+14.4%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, AUB is in a uptrend. Immediate support is located at $37.26, while resistance sits at $40.71.
Market Sentiment: AUB has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $44.44 (+14.4%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Fair Price Range
$36.11 -
$38.81
Company Quality Score
62/100
(BUY)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
59.5%
Protect Your Profits
Holding AUB? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (75/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($44.44)
Fair Price Analysis
30-Day Fair Range
$36.11 -
$38.81
Current vs Fair Value
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$37.26
Resistance Level
$40.71
Current Trend
Uptrend
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
9.64
Wall Street Target
$44.44
(+14.4%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
91.5%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
30.0%
Profit Margin
22.2%
Valuation Discount vs History
-0.5% cheaper
PE vs Historical
9.6 vs 9.8
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-0.5%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$38.65
(-1%)
2-Year Target
$38.45
(-1%)
3-Year Target
$38.26
(-2%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 10→10)
$38.88
(+0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.3, Growth: 6.9%)
$109.86
(+183%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 9.6, Growth: 6.9%)
$47.50
(+22%)
Bear:
(PE: 8.2, Growth: 6.9%)
$40.38
(+4%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (19x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (10x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 19.16 | Current EPS (TTM): $2.03
Bull Case
$84.90
(+119%)
Analyst growth 98.4%, PE expands to 21.1
Base Case
$77.18
(+99%)
Market implied 98.4%, PE stable at 19.2
Bear Case
$26.45
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 16.3
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 9.6 to 9.8
Stabilization Target:
$39.47
(+1.6%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+1.6%
Last updated: February 01, 2026 3:10 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 4:10 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 4:10 AM
🔥 Top Stocks Breaking Out Now
| Ticker | Score | Recommendation | Change % |
|---|
Technical Signals Check
Is AUB showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
2
Buys
0
Sells
+
Net
INSIDERS BUYING
Recent Transactions
Frank Russell Ellett
BUY
1441 shares
2025-08-08
Frank Russell Ellett
BUY
5000 shares
2025-08-07
Top Rated Banks - Regional Stocks
Top-rated stocks in Banks - Regional by analyst ratings.
| Stock | Analyst Consensus | Analyst Target | Tradestie Score |
|---|---|---|---|
|
USB
U.S. Bancorp |
BUY
24 analysts |
$62 | 63 BUY |
|
PNC
PNC Financial Services G… |
BUY
23 analysts |
$246 | 63 BUY |
|
HBAN
Huntington Bancshares In… |
STRONG BUY
21 analysts |
$20 | 58 HOLD |
|
WBS
Webster Financial Corpor… |
STRONG BUY
16 analysts |
$75 | 59 HOLD |
|
CFG
Citizens Financial Group… |
BUY
21 analysts |
$71 | 59 HOLD |
Advanced AUB Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's AUB price and gamma walls.
