AVPT Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
AVPT - AvePoint, Inc. Class A Common Stock
$10.58
-1.12 (-9.57%)
▼
5d:
-14.54%
30d:
-19.97%
90d:
-24.8%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Last Updated: February 3, 2026
Earnings: Feb 26, 2026
21d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
⏸️ WAIT FOR STABILIZATION: AVPT is down 14.5% over the last 5 days. While fundamentals may be solid, catching a falling knife is risky. Wait for price to stabilize before entering.
⏸️ WAIT FOR STABILIZATION: AVPT is down 14.5% over the last 5 days. While fundamentals may be solid, catching a falling knife is risky. Wait for price to stabilize before entering.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$15.52
Based on 9.9% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$9.64
Trading above fair value
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: AVPT is currently trading at $10.58, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $12.09 to $13.80. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 27.2) compared to its historical average (34.0). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 7.2% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 500% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, AVPT is in a downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $10.38. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 9.6% recently.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $18.79 (+77.6%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, AVPT is in a downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $10.38. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 9.6% recently.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $18.79 (+77.6%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Fair Price Range
$12.09 -
$13.80
Company Quality Score
54/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
74.8%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BEARISH: Downward momentum (-9.6%)
- BULLISH: Trading 77.6% below Wall St target ($18.79)
- WARNING: Recommendation downgraded due to -14.5% 5-day decline - wait for stabilization
Fair Price Analysis
30-Day Fair Range
$12.09 -
$13.80
Current vs Fair Value
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$10.38
Resistance Level
$12.96
Current Trend
Downtrend
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
27.16
Wall Street Target
$18.79
(+77.6%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
23.6%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
500.0%
Profit Margin
0.5%
Valuation Discount vs History
-7.2% cheaper
PE vs Historical
27.2 vs 34.0
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-7.2%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$9.82
(-7%)
2-Year Target
$9.11
(-14%)
3-Year Target
$8.46
(-20%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 27→34)
$10.59
(+0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 27.2, Growth: 15.7%)
$16.41
(+55%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 22.3, Growth: 15.7%)
$13.47
(+27%)
Bear:
(PE: 19.0, Growth: 15.7%)
$11.45
(+8%)
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 27.2 to 34.0
Stabilization Target:
$13.25
(+25.2%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+25.2%
Last updated: February 04, 2026 3:45 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 4:45 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 4:45 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is AVPT showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
11
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Xunkai Gong
SELL
4167 shares
2025-10-07
Xunkai Gong
SELL
55833 shares
2025-10-06
Xunkai Gong
SELL
28050 shares
2025-09-30
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