AXGN Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
AXGN - Axogen, Inc. Common Stock
$34.85
0.85 (2.50%)
▲
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Last Updated: January 30, 2026
Earnings: Feb 24, 2026
21d
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1 traders called AXGN this week
100% bullish • 0 bearish
100% bullish • 0 bearish
Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: AXGN is fairly valued with market pricing in 4.2% annual growth. Fine to hold or accumulate slowly on dips.
📊 HOLD: AXGN is fairly valued with market pricing in 4.2% annual growth. Fine to hold or accumulate slowly on dips.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$24.26
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$15.06
Trading above fair value
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: AXGN is currently trading at $34.85, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $31.46 to $33.82. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 69.9) compared to its historical average (61.9). At these levels, the market is pricing in 4.2% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, AXGN is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $35.50. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: AXGN has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, AXGN is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $35.50. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: AXGN has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Fair Price Range
$31.46 -
$33.82
Company Quality Score
62/100
(BUY)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
58.1%
Protect Your Profits
Holding AXGN? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (75/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($37.00)
- NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 4.2% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
Fair Price Analysis
30-Day Fair Range
$31.46 -
$33.82
Current vs Fair Value
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$30.52
Resistance Level
$35.50
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
69.94
Wall Street Target
$37.00
(+6.2%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
23.5%
Profit Margin
-1.0%
Valuation Premium vs History
+4.2% premium
PE vs Historical
69.9 vs 61.9
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+4.2%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$36.31
(+4%)
2-Year Target
$37.84
(+9%)
3-Year Target
$39.43
(+13%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 70→62)
PE COMPRESSION
$34.90
(+0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 69.9, Growth: 68.9%)
$117.62
(+238%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 22.3, Growth: 68.9%)
$37.50
(+8%)
Bear:
(PE: 19.0, Growth: 68.9%)
$31.88
(-9%)
Last updated: February 01, 2026 6:34 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:34 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:34 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is AXGN showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
6
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
William P Mr. Burke
SELL
736 shares
2025-10-06
William P Mr. Burke
SELL
14571 shares
2025-10-03
William P Mr. Burke
SELL
7600 shares
2025-10-03
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Advanced AXGN Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's AXGN price and gamma walls.
