BANF Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
BANF - Bancfirst Corp
$109.95
0.78 (0.71%)
▲
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Last Updated: January 30, 2026
Earnings: Apr 15, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: BANF shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
📊 HOLD: BANF shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$129.56
Based on 2.9% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$80.45
Trading above fair value
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 15.7x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: BANF is currently trading at $109.95, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $107.43 to $112.71. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 15.3) is in line with its historical norms (15.7). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 0.9% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 4.1% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, BANF is in a strong downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $107.31. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: BANF has a weak technical setup (25/100), with bearish trendlines and momentum suggesting caution for short-term entries. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $122.67 (+12.4%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, BANF is in a strong downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $107.31. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: BANF has a weak technical setup (25/100), with bearish trendlines and momentum suggesting caution for short-term entries. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $122.67 (+12.4%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Fair Price Range
$107.43 -
$112.71
Company Quality Score
57/100
(HOLD)
Options IV Signal
37th percentile
(NORMAL)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
51.9%
Protect Your Profits
Holding BANF? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- NEUTRAL: Options fairly priced (IV 37th percentile)
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (25/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($122.67)
Fair Price Analysis
30-Day Fair Range
$107.43 -
$112.71
Current vs Fair Value
FAIR
Expected Move (7 Days)
±$4.58
(4.2%)
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$107.31
Resistance Level
$117.91
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
15.30
Wall Street Target
$122.67
(+12.4%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
11.2%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
4.1%
Profit Margin
35.1%
Valuation Discount vs History
-0.9% cheaper
PE vs Historical
15.3 vs 15.7
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-0.9%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$108.19
(-1%)
2-Year Target
$107.21
(-2%)
3-Year Target
$106.25
(-3%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 15→16)
$109.05
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.3, Growth: 1.9%)
$168.42
(+54%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 15.3, Growth: 1.9%)
$115.53
(+6%)
Bear:
(PE: 13.0, Growth: 1.9%)
$98.20
(-10%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
Trailing PE: 15.18 | Current EPS (TTM): $7.11
Bull Case
$119.18
(+8%)
Analyst growth 0.4%, PE expands to 16.7
Base Case
$108.35
(-2%)
Market implied 0.4%, PE stable at 15.2
Bear Case
$73.40
(-33%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 12.9
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 15.3 to 15.7
Stabilization Target:
$112.05
(+2.6%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+2.6%
Last updated: January 30, 2026 7:33 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 8:33 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 8:33 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is BANF showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
1
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
F Ford Drummond
SELL
5000 shares
2025-08-13
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Advanced BANF Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's BANF price and gamma walls.
