BBAR Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
BBAR - Banco BBVA Argentina S.A.
$20.22
-0.25 (-1.22%)
▼
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Last Updated: January 30, 2026
Earnings: Mar 04, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: BBAR shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 3.2% growth. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: BBAR shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 3.2% growth. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$36.20
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$22.48
10.1% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 13.9x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: BBAR is currently trading at $20.22, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $17.58 to $19.33. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 15.3) compared to its historical average (13.9). At these levels, the market is pricing in 3.2% annual earnings growth.
Technical Outlook: Technically, BBAR is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $17.00, while resistance sits at $21.38.
Market Sentiment: BBAR has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $22.88 (+11.7%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, BBAR is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $17.00, while resistance sits at $21.38.
Market Sentiment: BBAR has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $22.88 (+11.7%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Fair Price Range
$17.58 -
$19.33
Company Quality Score
58/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
62.9%
All Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (75/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($22.88)
- BULLISH: Expecting earnings turnaround to 3.2% growth with -17.7% revenue growth
Fair Price Analysis
30-Day Fair Range
$17.58 -
$19.33
Current vs Fair Value
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$17.00
Resistance Level
$21.38
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
15.30
Wall Street Target
$22.88
(+11.7%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-17.7%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-64.2%
Profit Margin
8.5%
Valuation Premium vs History
+3.2% premium
PE vs Historical
15.3 vs 13.9
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+3.2%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$21.13
(+3%)
2-Year Target
$21.80
(+7%)
3-Year Target
$22.50
(+10%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 15→14)
PE COMPRESSION
$20.43
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.3, Growth: 479.0%)
$100.66
(+392%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 15.3, Growth: 479.0%)
$69.09
(+238%)
Bear:
(PE: 13.0, Growth: 479.0%)
$58.72
(+187%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (32x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (15x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 32.16 | Current EPS (TTM): $0.63
Bull Case
$44.57
(+120%)
Analyst growth 100.0%, PE expands to 35.4
Base Case
$40.52
(+100%)
Market implied 100.0%, PE stable at 32.2
Bear Case
$13.78
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 27.3
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Last updated: January 30, 2026 9:43 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 10:43 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 10:43 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is BBAR showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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