BBAR Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
BBAR - Banco BBVA Argentina S.A.
$16.06
1.75 (12.23%)
▲
5d:
+14.31%
30d:
+9.7%
90d:
-12.43%
BUY
HIGH Confidence
Analysis Updated: Mar 31, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: May 20, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
✅ BUY SIGNAL: BBAR shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite fair pricing.
✅ BUY SIGNAL: BBAR shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite fair pricing.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$32.30
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$20.05
19.9% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 12.4x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: BBAR is currently trading at $16.06, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $13.49 to $15.92. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 12.0) is in line with its historical norms (12.4). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 1.0% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, BBAR is in a downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $15.36. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 12.2% recently.
Market Sentiment: BBAR has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $22.88 (+42.4%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, BBAR is in a downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $15.36. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 12.2% recently.
Market Sentiment: BBAR has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $22.88 (+42.4%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Fair Price Range
$13.49 -
$15.92
Company Quality Score
48/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
88.1%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (60/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Strong upward momentum (+12.2%)
- BULLISH: Trading 42.4% below Wall St target ($22.88)
Fair Price Analysis
30-Day Fair Range
$13.49 -
$15.92
Current vs Fair Value
FAIR
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$12.62
Resistance Level
$15.36
Current Trend
Downtrend
Technical data as of
Mar 31, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
12.01
Wall Street Target
$22.88
(+42.4%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-17.7%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-64.2%
Profit Margin
8.5%
Valuation Discount vs History
-1.0% cheaper
PE vs Historical
12.0 vs 12.4
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-1.0%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$15.90
(-1%)
2-Year Target
$15.74
(-2%)
3-Year Target
$15.58
(-3%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 12→12)
$16.09
(+0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.4, Growth: 479.0%)
$100.89
(+528%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 12.0, Growth: 479.0%)
$54.20
(+238%)
Bear:
(PE: 10.2, Growth: 479.0%)
$46.07
(+187%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (32x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (12x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 31.71 | Current EPS (TTM): $0.63
Bull Case
$43.96
(+209%)
Analyst growth 100.0%, PE expands to 34.9
Base Case
$39.96
(+180%)
Market implied 100.0%, PE stable at 31.7
Bear Case
$13.59
(-5%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 27.0
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 12.0 to 12.4
Stabilization Target:
$16.58
(+3.3%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+3.3%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: April 01, 2026 2:58 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 3:58 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 3:58 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is BBAR showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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