BBD Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

BBD - Banco Bradesco S.A. American Depositary Shares (Each representing one Preferred Shares)

State Commercial Banks
$4.05
-0.10 (-2.41%) ▼
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
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Last Updated: January 30, 2026
Earnings: Feb 06, 2026 5d

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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💡
Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: BBD is fairly valued with market pricing in 4.3% annual growth. Fine to hold or accumulate slowly on dips.

Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$6.65
Based on 12.9% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$4.13
1.9% Margin of Safety

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 7.3x Exit PE.

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: BBD is currently trading at $4.05, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $3.31 to $3.88. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 8.3) compared to its historical average (7.3). At these levels, the market is pricing in 4.3% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.

Technical Outlook: Technically, BBD is in a uptrend. Immediate support is located at $3.47, while resistance sits at $4.29.

Market Sentiment: BBD has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. However, the stock is trading significantly above the average Wall Street target of $3.70. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position EXTENDED
Fair Price Range $3.31 - $3.88
Company Quality Score 63/100 (BUY)
Volume Confirmation HIGH
Confidence Score 53.3%

Protect Your Profits

BBD is technically overbought (RSI 71). Consider hedging now to protect against a potential pullback while keeping your upside.

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All Signals

  • BEARISH: Price extended above range
  • BULLISH: Strong technical setup (60/100)
  • BULLISH: High volume confirmation
  • BEARISH: Trading 10.8% above Wall St target ($3.70)
  • NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 4.3% annual earnings growth - fairly valued

Fair Price Analysis

30-Day Fair Range $3.31 - $3.88
Current vs Fair Value EXTENDED

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $3.47
Resistance Level $4.29
Current Trend Uptrend

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 8.28
Wall Street Target $3.70 (-10.8%)
Revenue Growth (YoY) 0.8%
Earnings Growth (YoY) 13.4%
Profit Margin 24.2%
Valuation Premium vs History +4.3% premium
PE vs Historical 8.3 vs 7.3 FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY): +4.3% (market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target $4.33 (+4%)
2-Year Target $4.51 (+9%)
3-Year Target $4.71 (+14%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 8→7) PE COMPRESSION $4.15 (+0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull: (PE: 22.3, Growth: 21.7%) $20.14 (+385%)
Base: (SPY PE: 8.3, Growth: 21.7%) $7.47 (+80%)
Bear: (PE: 7.0, Growth: 21.7%) $6.35 (+53%)
📈 Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (11x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (8x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 11.24 | Current EPS (TTM): $0.37
Bull Case $6.20 (+53%)
Analyst growth 35.5%, PE expands to 12.4
Base Case $5.64 (+39%)
Market implied 35.5%, PE stable at 11.2
Bear Case $2.83 (-30%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 9.6
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Last updated: January 30, 2026 7:31 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 8:31 PM
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Ticker Score Recommendation Change %
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
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Net
NEUTRAL

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Advanced BBD Option Strategies

Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's BBD price and gamma walls.

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