BBD Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
BBD - Banco Bradesco S.A. American Depositary Shares (Each representing one Preferred Shares)
$3.66
0.16 (4.57%)
▲
5d:
+3.1%
30d:
-10.29%
90d:
+10.24%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Mar 31, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: May 06, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: BBD shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
📊 HOLD: BBD shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$5.16
Based on 5.8% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$3.20
Trading above fair value
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 7.2x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: BBD is currently trading at $3.66, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $3.53 to $3.99. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 6.5) is in line with its historical norms (7.2). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 3.6% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 57.2% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, BBD is in a uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $3.70. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 4.6% recently.
Market Sentiment: BBD has a weak technical setup (25/100), with bearish trendlines and momentum suggesting caution for short-term entries. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $4.00 (+14.3%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, BBD is in a uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $3.70. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 4.6% recently.
Market Sentiment: BBD has a weak technical setup (25/100), with bearish trendlines and momentum suggesting caution for short-term entries. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $4.00 (+14.3%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Fair Price Range
$3.53 -
$3.99
Company Quality Score
56/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
52.4%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (25/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Strong upward momentum (+4.6%)
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($4.00)
Fair Price Analysis
30-Day Fair Range
$3.53 -
$3.99
Current vs Fair Value
FAIR
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$3.38
Resistance Level
$3.70
Current Trend
Uptrend
Technical data as of
Mar 31, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
6.48
Wall Street Target
$4.00
(+14.3%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
6.0%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
57.2%
Profit Margin
26.5%
Valuation Discount vs History
-3.6% cheaper
PE vs Historical
6.5 vs 7.2
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-3.6%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$3.37
(-4%)
2-Year Target
$3.25
(-7%)
3-Year Target
$3.14
(-10%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 6→7)
$3.49
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.4, Growth: 7.6%)
$15.04
(+330%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 6.5, Growth: 7.6%)
$4.36
(+25%)
Bear:
(PE: 5.5, Growth: 7.6%)
$3.70
(+6%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (9x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (6x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 8.53 | Current EPS (TTM): $0.40
Bull Case
$5.07
(+41%)
Analyst growth 35.1%, PE expands to 9.4
Base Case
$4.61
(+28%)
Market implied 35.1%, PE stable at 8.5
Bear Case
$2.32
(-35%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 7.3
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 6.5 to 7.2
Stabilization Target:
$3.89
(+11.2%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+11.2%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: March 31, 2026 2:39 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 3:39 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 3:39 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is BBD showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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