BBSI Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
BBSI - Barrett Business Services
$28.90
-0.28 (-0.96%)
▼
5d:
-0.17%
30d:
+3.36%
90d:
-21.42%
BUY
HIGH Confidence
Analysis Updated: Apr 1, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: May 06, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
✅ BUY SIGNAL: BBSI appears deeply undervalued. Market expects -3.5% annual earnings decline despite 51% recent earnings growth. Contrarian opportunity at discount to historical valuation.
✅ BUY SIGNAL: BBSI appears deeply undervalued. Market expects -3.5% annual earnings decline despite 51% recent earnings growth. Contrarian opportunity at discount to historical valuation.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$55.72
Based on 11.7% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$34.60
16.5% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 14.5x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: BBSI is currently trading at $28.90, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $27.49 to $29.84. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 13.0) compared to its historical average (14.5). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 3.5% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 50.9% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, BBSI is in a strong downtrend. Immediate support is located at $27.59, while resistance sits at $30.57.
Market Sentiment: BBSI has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $42.25 (+46.2%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, BBSI is in a strong downtrend. Immediate support is located at $27.59, while resistance sits at $30.57.
Market Sentiment: BBSI has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $42.25 (+46.2%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Fair Price Range
$27.49 -
$29.84
Company Quality Score
58/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
83.3%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (60/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 46.2% below Wall St target ($42.25)
Fair Price Analysis
30-Day Fair Range
$27.49 -
$29.84
Current vs Fair Value
FAIR
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$27.59
Resistance Level
$30.57
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
Apr 1, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
13.00
Wall Street Target
$42.25
(+46.2%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
10.0%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
50.9%
Profit Margin
4.4%
Valuation Discount vs History
-3.5% cheaper
PE vs Historical
13.0 vs 14.5
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-3.5%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$27.89
(-4%)
2-Year Target
$26.91
(-7%)
3-Year Target
$25.97
(-10%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 13→15)
$28.97
(+0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.4, Growth: 19.4%)
$84.52
(+193%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 13.0, Growth: 19.4%)
$49.16
(+70%)
Bear:
(PE: 11.0, Growth: 19.4%)
$41.79
(+45%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (13x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (13x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 13.43 | Current EPS (TTM): $2.08
Bull Case
$32.85
(+14%)
Analyst growth 6.9%, PE expands to 14.8
Base Case
$29.86
(+3%)
Market implied 6.9%, PE stable at 13.4
Bear Case
$19.00
(-34%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 11.4
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 13.0 to 14.5
Stabilization Target:
$32.24
(+11.5%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+11.5%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: April 02, 2026 7:25 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 8:25 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 8:25 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is BBSI showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
2
Buys
1
Sells
+
Net
INSIDERS BUYING
Recent Transactions
James R Potts
SELL
1803 shares
2026-03-17
Gary Kramer
BUY
8370 shares
2026-03-13
Joseph Stephen Clabby
BUY
1000 shares
2025-11-11
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