BBSI Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

BBSI - Barrett Business Services

SERVICES-HELP SUPPLY SERVICES
$29.36
-0.01 (-0.03%) ▼
5d: +5.08%
30d: +9.43%
90d: -18.63%
BUY
HIGH Confidence
Analysis Updated: Mar 27, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: May 06, 2026

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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💡
Bottom Line:
✅ BUY SIGNAL: BBSI shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite fair pricing.

Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$55.72
Based on 11.7% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$34.60
15.1% Margin of Safety

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 14.5x Exit PE.

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: BBSI is currently trading at $29.36, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $27.33 to $30.41. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 13.2) is in line with its historical norms (14.5). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 3.1% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 50.9% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.

Technical Outlook: Technically, BBSI is in a strong downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $29.81. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.

Market Sentiment: BBSI has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $42.25 (+43.9%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position FAIR
Fair Price Range $27.33 - $30.41
Company Quality Score 60/100 (HOLD)
Volume Confirmation HIGH
Confidence Score 83.3%

All Signals

  • NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
  • BULLISH: Strong technical setup (60/100)
  • BULLISH: High volume confirmation
  • BULLISH: Trading 43.9% below Wall St target ($42.25)

Fair Price Analysis

30-Day Fair Range $27.33 - $30.41
Current vs Fair Value FAIR

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $27.10
Resistance Level $29.81
Current Trend Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of Mar 27, 2026

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 13.21
Wall Street Target $42.25 (+43.9%)
Revenue Growth (YoY) 10.0%
Earnings Growth (YoY) 50.9%
Profit Margin 4.4%
Valuation Discount vs History -3.1% cheaper
PE vs Historical 13.2 vs 14.5 FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY): -3.1% (market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target $28.45 (-3%)
2-Year Target $27.57 (-6%)
3-Year Target $26.71 (-9%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 13→15) $29.33 (0%)
3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull: (PE: 22.4, Growth: 19.4%) $84.71 (+189%)
Base: (SPY PE: 13.2, Growth: 19.4%) $49.94 (+70%)
Bear: (PE: 11.2, Growth: 19.4%) $42.45 (+45%)
📈 Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (13x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (13x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 13.43 | Current EPS (TTM): $2.08
Bull Case $32.85 (+14%)
Analyst growth 6.9%, PE expands to 14.8
Base Case $29.86 (+3%)
Market implied 6.9%, PE stable at 13.4
Bear Case $19.00 (-34%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 11.4
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡 Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 13.2 to 14.5
Stabilization Target: $32.24 (+9.8%)
PE Expansion Potential: +9.8%
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Last updated: March 30, 2026 8:39 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 9:39 AM
🔥 Top Stocks Breaking Out Now
Ticker Score Recommendation Change %
Technical Signals Check
Insider Activity (6 Months)
2
Buys
1
Sells
+
Net
INSIDERS BUYING
Recent Transactions
James R Potts SELL 1803 shares 2026-03-17
Gary Kramer BUY 8370 shares 2026-03-13
Joseph Stephen Clabby BUY 1000 shares 2025-11-11

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