BBSI Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
BBSI - Barrett Business Services
$38.00
1.28 (3.49%)
▲
BUY
HIGH Confidence
Last Updated: January 30, 2026
Earnings: Feb 25, 2026
23d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
✅ BUY SIGNAL: BBSI shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite fair pricing.
✅ BUY SIGNAL: BBSI shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite fair pricing.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$55.22
Based on 8.4% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$34.28
Trading above fair value
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 15.6x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: BBSI is currently trading at $38.00, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $36.62 to $38.51. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 16.0) is in line with its historical norms (15.6). At these levels, the market is pricing in 0.9% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, BBSI is in a strong downtrend. Immediate support is located at $36.20, while resistance sits at $39.45. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 3.5% recently.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $51.00 (+34.2%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, BBSI is in a strong downtrend. Immediate support is located at $36.20, while resistance sits at $39.45. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 3.5% recently.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $51.00 (+34.2%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Fair Price Range
$36.62 -
$38.51
Company Quality Score
57/100
(HOLD)
Options IV Signal
50th percentile
(NORMAL)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
76.5%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- NEUTRAL: Options fairly priced (IV 50th percentile)
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Strong upward momentum (+3.5%)
- BULLISH: Trading 34.2% below Wall St target ($51.00)
- NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 0.9% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
Fair Price Analysis
30-Day Fair Range
$36.62 -
$38.51
Current vs Fair Value
FAIR
Expected Move (7 Days)
±$2.04
(5.4%)
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$36.20
Resistance Level
$39.45
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
16.00
Wall Street Target
$51.00
(+34.2%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
10.0%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
50.9%
Profit Margin
4.5%
Valuation Premium vs History
+0.9% premium
PE vs Historical
16.0 vs 15.6
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+0.9%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$38.34
(+1%)
2-Year Target
$38.69
(+2%)
3-Year Target
$39.04
(+3%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 16→16)
PE COMPRESSION
$38.06
(+0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.3, Growth: 12.7%)
$75.80
(+100%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 16.0, Growth: 12.7%)
$54.38
(+43%)
Bear:
(PE: 13.6, Growth: 12.7%)
$46.23
(+22%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (18x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (16x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 17.62 | Current EPS (TTM): $2.08
Bull Case
$46.03
(+21%)
Analyst growth 14.2%, PE expands to 19.4
Base Case
$41.85
(+10%)
Market implied 14.2%, PE stable at 17.6
Bear Case
$24.92
(-34%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 15.0
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Last updated: February 01, 2026 3:11 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 4:11 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 4:11 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is BBSI showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
5
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Gerald Blotz
SELL
11664 shares
2025-09-22
Anthony Meeker
SELL
3064 shares
2025-09-15
Gary Kramer
SELL
80000 shares
2025-08-25
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Advanced BBSI Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's BBSI price and gamma walls.
