TNET Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
TNET - TRINET GROUP, INC.
$39.64
0.00 (0.00%)
▲
5d:
-7.53%
30d:
+3.5%
90d:
-1.76%
HOLD
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: May 14, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Apr 30, 2026
0d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: TNET shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
📊 HOLD: TNET shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$61.95
Based on 5.3% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$38.47
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 9.9x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: TNET is currently trading at $39.64, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $37.52 to $42.69. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 8.2) compared to its historical average (9.9). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 6.1% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 10.7% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, TNET is in a strong downtrend. Immediate support is located at $38.36, while resistance sits at $46.38.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $51.80 (+30.7%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, TNET is in a strong downtrend. Immediate support is located at $38.36, while resistance sits at $46.38.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $51.80 (+30.7%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Historical Trading Range
$37.52 -
$42.69
Company Quality Score
46/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
72.4%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 30.7% below Wall St target ($51.80)
- CAUTION: Recommendation downgraded due to -7.5% 5-day decline
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$37.52 -
$42.69
Current vs Trading Range
FAIR
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$38.36
Resistance Level
$46.38
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
May 14, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
8.20
Wall Street Target
$51.80
(+30.7%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-4.9%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
10.7%
Profit Margin
3.3%
Valuation Discount vs History
-6.1% cheaper
PE vs Historical
8.2 vs 9.9
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-6.1%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$37.22
(-6%)
2-Year Target
$34.95
(-12%)
3-Year Target
$32.82
(-17%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 8→10)
$39.63
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.0, Growth: 6.6%)
$129.12
(+226%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 8.2, Growth: 6.6%)
$48.03
(+21%)
Bear:
(PE: 7.0, Growth: 6.6%)
$40.83
(+3%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (12x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (8x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 11.74 | Current EPS (TTM): $3.38
Bull Case
$62.42
(+58%)
Analyst growth 43.0%, PE expands to 12.9
Base Case
$56.74
(+43%)
Market implied 43.0%, PE stable at 11.7
Bear Case
$26.98
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 10.0
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 8.2 to 9.9
Stabilization Target:
$47.86
(+20.7%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+20.7%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: May 14, 2026 6:56 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:56 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:56 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is TNET showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
6
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Sidney A Majalya
SELL
775 shares
2026-04-01
Anthony Shea Treadway
SELL
487 shares
2026-02-18
Sidney A Majalya
SELL
775 shares
2026-01-09
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