BCBP Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
BCBP - BCB Bancorp Inc (NJ)
$7.89
0.07 (0.90%)
▲
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Last Updated: January 30, 2026
Earnings: Apr 16, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: BCBP shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
📊 HOLD: BCBP shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$11.20
Based on 7.0% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$6.95
Trading above fair value
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 8.1x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: BCBP is currently trading at $7.89, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $7.77 to $8.14. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 7.9) is in line with its historical norms (8.1). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 0.8% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, BCBP is in a downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $8.02. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: BCBP has a weak technical setup (25/100), with bearish trendlines and momentum suggesting caution for short-term entries. In the options market, Implied Volatility is low (2th percentile), suggesting options premiums are relatively cheap. This makes it an attractive time for long options strategies if you have a directional bias. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $9.50 (+21.5%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, BCBP is in a downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $8.02. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: BCBP has a weak technical setup (25/100), with bearish trendlines and momentum suggesting caution for short-term entries. In the options market, Implied Volatility is low (2th percentile), suggesting options premiums are relatively cheap. This makes it an attractive time for long options strategies if you have a directional bias. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $9.50 (+21.5%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Fair Price Range
$7.77 -
$8.14
Company Quality Score
57/100
(HOLD)
Options IV Signal
2th percentile
(LOW)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
59.6%
Protect Your Profits
Holding BCBP? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- BULLISH: Options cheap (IV 2th percentile)
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (25/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 21.5% below Wall St target ($9.50)
Fair Price Analysis
30-Day Fair Range
$7.77 -
$8.14
Current vs Fair Value
FAIR
Expected Move (7 Days)
±$0.37
(4.7%)
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$7.31
Resistance Level
$8.02
Current Trend
Downtrend
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
7.93
Wall Street Target
$9.50
(+21.5%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-3.9%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-39.0%
Profit Margin
4.3%
Valuation Discount vs History
-0.8% cheaper
PE vs Historical
7.9 vs 8.1
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-0.8%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$7.76
(-1%)
2-Year Target
$7.70
(-2%)
3-Year Target
$7.63
(-2%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 8→8)
$7.80
(0%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (9x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (8x PE) as earnings recover.
Forward PE: 8.77 | Forward EPS (Implied): $0.90
Bull Case
$9.53
(+21%)
Analyst growth 15.0%, PE expands to 9.2
Base Case
$7.89
(0%)
Market implied 0.0%, PE stable at 8.8
Bear Case
$6.04
(-24%)
Severe decline -15.0%, PE contracts to 7.9
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 7.9 to 8.1
Stabilization Target:
$7.99
(+2.2%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+2.2%
Last updated: January 31, 2026 1:01 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 2:01 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 2:01 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is BCBP showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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Advanced BCBP Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's BCBP price and gamma walls.
