FHN Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
FHN - First Horizon Corporation
$25.68
-0.37 (-1.42%)
▼
5d:
+0.47%
30d:
+7.0%
90d:
+11.75%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 2, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Jul 15, 2026
11d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: FHN is fairly valued with market pricing in 0.7% annual growth. Fine to hold or accumulate slowly on dips.
📊 HOLD: FHN is fairly valued with market pricing in 0.7% annual growth. Fine to hold or accumulate slowly on dips.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$34.98
Based on 7.0% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$21.72
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 10.6x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: FHN is currently trading at $25.68, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $24.14 to $25.41. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 10.9) is in line with its historical norms (10.6). At these levels, the market is pricing in 0.7% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, FHN is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $24.88. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: FHN has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, FHN is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $24.88. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: FHN has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$24.14 -
$25.41
Company Quality Score
60/100
(BUY)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
58.1%
All Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (75/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($27.37)
- NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 0.7% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$24.14 -
$25.41
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$23.47
Resistance Level
$24.88
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Jun 9, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
10.88
Wall Street Target
$27.37
(+6.6%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
9.7%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
29.3%
Profit Margin
29.9%
Valuation Premium vs History
+0.7% premium
PE vs Historical
10.9 vs 10.6
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+0.7%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$25.86
(+1%)
2-Year Target
$26.04
(+1%)
3-Year Target
$26.22
(+2%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 11→11)
PE COMPRESSION
$25.55
(-1%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.8, Growth: 9.9%)
$68.21
(+166%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 10.9, Growth: 9.9%)
$34.07
(+33%)
Bear:
(PE: 9.2, Growth: 9.9%)
$28.96
(+13%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (13x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (11x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 13.09 | Current EPS (TTM): $1.99
Bull Case
$33.99
(+32%)
Analyst growth 18.6%, PE expands to 14.4
Base Case
$30.90
(+20%)
Market implied 18.6%, PE stable at 13.1
Bear Case
$17.71
(-31%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 11.1
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: July 03, 2026 5:08 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:08 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:08 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is FHN showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
1
Buys
1
Sells
0
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Ro Khanna
BUY
2026-03-05
Anthony J Restel
SELL
5719 shares
2026-01-29
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