BCH Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
BCH - Banco de ChileAmerican Depositary Shares (Each representing 200 shares of Common Stock)
$43.63
-2.24 (-4.88%)
▼
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Last Updated: January 30, 2026
Earnings: Feb 11, 2026
10d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: BCH shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
📊 HOLD: BCH shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$53.85
Based on 5.2% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$33.44
Trading above fair value
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 15.4x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: BCH is currently trading at $43.63, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $38.39 to $43.30. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 16.9) is in line with its historical norms (15.4). At these levels, the market is pricing in 3.2% annual earnings growth. This is a high bar to clear, indicating the stock may be priced for perfection.
Technical Outlook: Technically, BCH is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $39.15, while resistance sits at $46.77. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 4.9% recently.
Market Sentiment: BCH has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. In the options market, Implied Volatility is low (8th percentile), suggesting options premiums are relatively cheap. This makes it an attractive time for long options strategies if you have a directional bias. However, the stock is trading significantly above the average Wall Street target of $34.31. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, BCH is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $39.15, while resistance sits at $46.77. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 4.9% recently.
Market Sentiment: BCH has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. In the options market, Implied Volatility is low (8th percentile), suggesting options premiums are relatively cheap. This makes it an attractive time for long options strategies if you have a directional bias. However, the stock is trading significantly above the average Wall Street target of $34.31. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Fair Price Range
$38.39 -
$43.30
Company Quality Score
66/100
(BUY)
Options IV Signal
8th percentile
(COMPLACENCY WARNING)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
53.8%
Protect Your Profits
Holding BCH? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- BULLISH: Options cheap (IV 8th percentile)
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (75/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BEARISH: Downward momentum (-4.9%)
- BEARISH: Trading 25.2% above Wall St target ($34.31)
- BEARISH: Market expects 3.2% growth - appears too optimistic based on history
Fair Price Analysis
30-Day Fair Range
$38.39 -
$43.30
Current vs Fair Value
EXTENDED
Expected Move (7 Days)
±$1.82
(4.2%)
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$39.15
Resistance Level
$46.77
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
16.90
Wall Street Target
$34.31
(-25.2%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
2.4%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
1.8%
Profit Margin
45.6%
Valuation Premium vs History
+3.2% premium
PE vs Historical
16.9 vs 15.4
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+3.2%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$47.34
(+3%)
2-Year Target
$48.85
(+7%)
3-Year Target
$50.42
(+10%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 17→15)
PE COMPRESSION
$45.94
(+0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.3, Growth: 6.4%)
$72.99
(+59%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 16.9, Growth: 6.4%)
$55.31
(+21%)
Bear:
(PE: 14.4, Growth: 6.4%)
$47.02
(+3%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
Trailing PE: 14.43 | Current EPS (TTM): $2.83
Bull Case
$43.10
(-1%)
Analyst growth -4.1%, PE expands to 15.9
Base Case
$39.18
(-10%)
Market implied -4.1%, PE stable at 14.4
Bear Case
$27.78
(-36%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 12.3
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Last updated: January 31, 2026 1:02 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 2:02 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 2:02 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is BCH showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's BCH price and gamma walls.