BG Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
BG - Bunge Global SA
$113.88
-1.27 (-1.10%)
▼
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Last Updated: January 30, 2026
Earnings: Feb 04, 2026
3d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: BG shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 5.4% growth. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: BG shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 5.4% growth. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$179.01
Based on 12.9% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$111.15
Trading above fair value
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 11.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: BG is currently trading at $113.88, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $91.40 to $111.82. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 12.9) compared to its historical average (11.0). At these levels, the market is pricing in 5.4% annual earnings growth.
Technical Outlook: Technically, BG is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $106.14, while resistance sits at $119.58.
Market Sentiment: BG has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, BG is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $106.14, while resistance sits at $119.58.
Market Sentiment: BG has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Fair Price Range
$91.40 -
$111.82
Company Quality Score
60/100
(BUY)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
60.5%
Protect Your Profits
BG is technically overbought (RSI 75). Consider hedging now to protect against a potential pullback while keeping your upside.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (60/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($110.90)
- BULLISH: Expecting earnings turnaround to 5.4% growth with 71.6% revenue growth
Fair Price Analysis
30-Day Fair Range
$91.40 -
$111.82
Current vs Fair Value
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$106.14
Resistance Level
$119.58
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
12.88
Wall Street Target
$110.90
(-3.7%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
71.6%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-46.0%
Profit Margin
2.2%
Valuation Premium vs History
+5.4% premium
PE vs Historical
12.9 vs 11.0
STRETCHED
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+5.4%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$121.37
(+5%)
2-Year Target
$127.92
(+11%)
3-Year Target
$134.83
(+17%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 13→11)
PE COMPRESSION
$115.16
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.3, Growth: 21.8%)
$360.14
(+213%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 12.9, Growth: 21.8%)
$207.99
(+81%)
Bear:
(PE: 10.9, Growth: 21.8%)
$176.79
(+54%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (13x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (13x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 12.98 | Current EPS (TTM): $8.88
Bull Case
$127.70
(+12%)
Analyst growth 0.7%, PE expands to 14.3
Base Case
$116.09
(+2%)
Market implied 0.7%, PE stable at 13.0
Bear Case
$78.40
(-31%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 11.0
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Last updated: January 30, 2026 7:34 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 8:34 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 8:34 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is BG showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
1
Buys
0
Sells
+
Net
INSIDERS BUYING
Recent Transactions
Christopher Mahoney
BUY
5000 shares
2025-08-18
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