BHRB Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
BHRB - Burke & Herbert Financial Services Corp. Common Stock
$66.89
1.41 (2.15%)
▲
5d:
+4.32%
30d:
+7.35%
90d:
+13.05%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Last Updated: February 2, 2026
Earnings: Apr 24, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: BHRB shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
📊 HOLD: BHRB shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$141.36
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$87.77
23.8% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 8.5x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: BHRB is currently trading at $66.89, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $62.48 to $65.24. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 7.8) is in line with its historical norms (8.5). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 2.7% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 51.4% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, BHRB is in a uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $67.76. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: BHRB has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, BHRB is in a uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $67.76. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: BHRB has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Fair Price Range
$62.48 -
$65.24
Company Quality Score
58/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
57.1%
All Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (60/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($73.50)
Fair Price Analysis
30-Day Fair Range
$62.48 -
$65.24
Current vs Fair Value
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$63.28
Resistance Level
$67.76
Current Trend
Uptrend
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
7.83
Wall Street Target
$73.50
(+9.9%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
9.6%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
51.4%
Profit Margin
34.4%
Valuation Discount vs History
-2.7% cheaper
PE vs Historical
7.8 vs 8.5
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-2.7%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$65.08
(-3%)
2-Year Target
$63.33
(-5%)
3-Year Target
$61.62
(-8%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 8→9)
$66.87
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.3, Growth: 43.0%)
$557.46
(+733%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 7.8, Growth: 43.0%)
$195.80
(+193%)
Bear:
(PE: 6.7, Growth: 43.0%)
$166.43
(+149%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (8x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (8x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 8.12 | Current EPS (TTM): $7.81
Bull Case
$77.66
(+19%)
Analyst growth 11.3%, PE expands to 8.9
Base Case
$70.60
(+8%)
Market implied 11.3%, PE stable at 8.1
Bear Case
$43.13
(-34%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 6.9
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 7.8 to 8.5
Stabilization Target:
$72.59
(+8.5%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+8.5%
Last updated: February 02, 2026 5:26 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:26 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:26 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is BHRB showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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