BKH Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
BKH - Black Hills Corporation
$70.83
0.94 (1.34%)
▲
5d:
+3.45%
30d:
-6.51%
90d:
+2.03%
BUY
HIGH Confidence
Analysis Updated: Apr 2, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: May 06, 2026
30d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
✅ BUY SIGNAL: BKH shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite oversold pricing.
✅ BUY SIGNAL: BKH shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite oversold pricing.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$94.23
Based on 5.0% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$58.51
Trading above fair value
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 16.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: BKH is currently trading at $70.83, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $69.77 to $74.07. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 15.3) is in line with its historical norms (16.0). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 1.4% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 0.9% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, BKH is showing sideways momentum. The price is approaching resistance at $71.14. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: BKH has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $81.25 (+14.7%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, BKH is showing sideways momentum. The price is approaching resistance at $71.14. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: BKH has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $81.25 (+14.7%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Fair Price Range
$69.77 -
$74.07
Company Quality Score
58/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
88.1%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (60/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($81.25)
Fair Price Analysis
30-Day Fair Range
$69.77 -
$74.07
Current vs Fair Value
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$67.45
Resistance Level
$71.14
Current Trend
Sideways
Technical data as of
Apr 2, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
15.35
Wall Street Target
$81.25
(+14.7%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
6.4%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
0.9%
Profit Margin
12.6%
Valuation Discount vs History
-1.4% cheaper
PE vs Historical
15.4 vs 16.0
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-1.4%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$69.84
(-1%)
2-Year Target
$68.86
(-3%)
3-Year Target
$67.90
(-4%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 15→16)
$70.78
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.6, Growth: 6.0%)
$113.16
(+60%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 15.3, Growth: 6.0%)
$84.43
(+19%)
Bear:
(PE: 13.0, Growth: 6.0%)
$71.77
(+1%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (17x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (15x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 17.05 | Current EPS (TTM): $3.98
Bull Case
$86.53
(+27%)
Analyst growth 16.0%, PE expands to 18.8
Base Case
$78.66
(+15%)
Market implied 16.0%, PE stable at 17.1
Bear Case
$46.13
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 14.5
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 15.3 to 16.0
Stabilization Target:
$73.84
(+4.2%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+4.2%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: April 05, 2026 3:16 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 4:16 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 4:16 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is BKH showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
1
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Kimberly F Nooney
SELL
14500 shares
2025-11-10
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