BKV Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
BKV - BKV Corporation
$28.12
-1.63 (-5.48%)
▼
5d:
-2.16%
30d:
+3.57%
90d:
+23.66%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Last Updated: February 2, 2026
Earnings: Feb 25, 2026
22d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: BKV is fairly valued with market pricing in 3.4% annual growth. Fine to hold or accumulate slowly on dips.
📊 HOLD: BKV is fairly valued with market pricing in 3.4% annual growth. Fine to hold or accumulate slowly on dips.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$49.65
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$30.83
8.8% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 12.2x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: BKV is currently trading at $28.12, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $26.09 to $28.33. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 13.4) compared to its historical average (12.2). At these levels, the market is pricing in 3.4% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, BKV is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $26.41, while resistance sits at $30.83. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 5.5% recently.
Market Sentiment: BKV has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $31.00 (+10.2%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, BKV is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $26.41, while resistance sits at $30.83. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 5.5% recently.
Market Sentiment: BKV has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $31.00 (+10.2%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Fair Price Range
$26.09 -
$28.33
Company Quality Score
60/100
(BUY)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
55.7%
All Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (75/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BEARISH: Downward momentum (-5.5%)
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($31.00)
- NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 3.4% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
Fair Price Analysis
30-Day Fair Range
$26.09 -
$28.33
Current vs Fair Value
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$26.41
Resistance Level
$30.83
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
13.45
Wall Street Target
$31.00
(+10.2%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
49.2%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
400.0%
Profit Margin
5.5%
Valuation Premium vs History
+3.4% premium
PE vs Historical
13.5 vs 12.2
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+3.4%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$29.08
(+3%)
2-Year Target
$30.06
(+7%)
3-Year Target
$31.09
(+11%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 13→12)
PE COMPRESSION
$28.19
(+0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.3, Growth: 28.0%)
$97.71
(+248%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 13.5, Growth: 28.0%)
$58.95
(+110%)
Bear:
(PE: 11.4, Growth: 28.0%)
$50.11
(+78%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (16x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (13x PE) as earnings recover.
Forward PE: 15.90 | Forward EPS (Implied): $1.87
Bull Case
$35.92
(+21%)
Analyst growth 15.0%, PE expands to 16.7
Base Case
$29.75
(0%)
Market implied 0.0%, PE stable at 15.9
Bear Case
$22.76
(-24%)
Severe decline -15.0%, PE contracts to 14.3
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Last updated: February 02, 2026 4:15 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 5:15 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 5:15 PM
🔥 Top Stocks Breaking Out Now
| Ticker | Score | Recommendation | Change % |
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Technical Signals Check
Is BKV showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
2
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Lindsay B Larrick
SELL
15000 shares
2025-10-01
Lindsay B Larrick
SELL
10000 shares
2025-08-12
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