BLZE Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

BLZE - Backblaze, Inc. Class A Common Stock

SERVICES-PREPACKAGED SOFTWARE
$4.55
-0.09 (-1.94%) ▼
5d: -6.19%
30d: -4.21%
90d: -56.79%
HOLD
LOW Confidence
Last Updated: January 30, 2026
Earnings: Feb 24, 2026 21d

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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💡
Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: BLZE is fairly valued with market pricing in 1.7% annual growth. Fine to hold or accumulate slowly on dips.

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: BLZE is currently trading at $4.55, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $4.72 to $5.02. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 131.1) is in line with its historical norms (124.7). At these levels, the market is pricing in 1.7% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.

Technical Outlook: Technically, BLZE is in a strong downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $4.49. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.

Market Sentiment: BLZE has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $10.06 (+121.0%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position OVERSOLD
Fair Price Range $4.72 - $5.02
Company Quality Score 57/100 (HOLD)
Volume Confirmation HIGH
Confidence Score 91.4%

All Signals

  • BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
  • BULLISH: Strong technical setup (60/100)
  • BULLISH: High volume confirmation
  • BULLISH: Trading 121.0% below Wall St target ($10.06)
  • NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 1.7% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
  • CAUTION: Recommendation downgraded due to -6.2% 5-day decline

Fair Price Analysis

30-Day Fair Range $4.72 - $5.02
Current vs Fair Value OVERSOLD

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $4.49
Resistance Level $5.04
Current Trend Strong Downtrend

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 131.12
Wall Street Target $10.06 (+121.0%)
Revenue Growth (YoY) 14.0%
Profit Margin -24.4%
Valuation Premium vs History +1.7% premium
PE vs Historical 131.1 vs 124.7 FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY): +1.7% (market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target $4.63 (+2%)
2-Year Target $4.71 (+3%)
3-Year Target $4.79 (+5%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 131→125) PE COMPRESSION $4.55 (0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull: (PE: 131.1, Growth: 303.5%) $15.36 (+238%)
Base: (SPY PE: 22.3, Growth: 303.5%) $2.61 (-43%)
Bear: (PE: 19.0, Growth: 303.5%) $2.22 (-51%)
Last updated: February 02, 2026 4:46 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 5:46 AM
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Ticker Score Recommendation Change %
Technical Signals Check
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL

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