BMA Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
BMA - Banco Macro S.A.
$77.37
7.32 (10.45%)
▲
5d:
+9.76%
30d:
+0.79%
90d:
-14.35%
BUY
HIGH Confidence
Analysis Updated: Mar 31, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Feb 25, 2026
0d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
✅ BUY SIGNAL: BMA shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite slightly high pricing.
✅ BUY SIGNAL: BMA shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite slightly high pricing.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$562551.00
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$349299.91
100.0% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 20.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: BMA is currently trading at $77.37, which is considered slightly high relative to its 30-day fair value range of $66.99 to $80.30. At these levels, the market is pricing in 16.4% annual earnings growth.
Technical Outlook: Technically, BMA is in a downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $75.03. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 10.4% recently.
Market Sentiment: BMA has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. In the options market, Implied Volatility is low (17th percentile), suggesting options premiums are relatively cheap. This makes it an attractive time for long options strategies if you have a directional bias. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $116.25 (+50.3%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, BMA is in a downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $75.03. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 10.4% recently.
Market Sentiment: BMA has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. In the options market, Implied Volatility is low (17th percentile), suggesting options premiums are relatively cheap. This makes it an attractive time for long options strategies if you have a directional bias. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $116.25 (+50.3%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Fair Price Range
$66.99 -
$80.30
Company Quality Score
59/100
(HOLD)
Options IV Signal
17th percentile
(COMPLACENCY WARNING)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
87.3%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Options cheap (IV 17th percentile)
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (60/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Strong upward momentum (+10.4%)
- BULLISH: Trading 50.3% below Wall St target ($116.25)
- BULLISH: Expecting earnings turnaround to 16.4% growth with 7.6% revenue growth
Fair Price Analysis
30-Day Fair Range
$66.99 -
$80.30
Current vs Fair Value
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Expected Move (7 Days)
±$6.56
(8.5%)
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$65.00
Resistance Level
$75.03
Current Trend
Downtrend
Technical data as of
Mar 31, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
0.01
Wall Street Target
$116.25
(+50.3%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
7.6%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-22.3%
Profit Margin
7.1%
Valuation Premium vs History
+16.4% premium
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+16.4%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$90.06
(+16%)
2-Year Target
$104.83
(+36%)
3-Year Target
$122.02
(+58%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.4, Growth: 51.5%)
$1089525.51
(+1408102%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 0.0, Growth: 51.5%)
$261.12
(+238%)
Bear:
(PE: 0.0, Growth: 51.5%)
$221.96
(+187%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (26x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (0x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 26.24 | Current EPS (TTM): $2.58
Bull Case
$148.92
(+112%)
Analyst growth 100.0%, PE expands to 28.9
Base Case
$135.38
(+93%)
Market implied 100.0%, PE stable at 26.2
Bear Case
$46.03
(-35%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 22.3
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: April 01, 2026 2:31 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 3:31 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 3:31 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is BMA showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
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