BOKF Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
BOKF - BOK Financial Corp
$128.06
2.89 (2.31%)
▲
5d:
+1.19%
30d:
-0.34%
90d:
+6.05%
BUY
HIGH Confidence
Analysis Updated: Mar 31, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Apr 20, 2026
18d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
✅ BUY SIGNAL: BOKF shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite fair pricing.
✅ BUY SIGNAL: BOKF shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite fair pricing.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$168.92
Based on 4.9% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$104.89
Trading above fair value
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 13.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: BOKF is currently trading at $128.06, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $124.61 to $129.25. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 12.5) is in line with its historical norms (13.0). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 1.2% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 37.3% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, BOKF is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $130.52. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: BOKF has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, BOKF is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $130.52. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: BOKF has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Fair Price Range
$124.61 -
$129.25
Company Quality Score
63/100
(BUY)
Options IV Signal
44th percentile
(NORMAL)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
76.9%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- NEUTRAL: Options fairly priced (IV 44th percentile)
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (60/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($135.30)
Fair Price Analysis
30-Day Fair Range
$124.61 -
$129.25
Current vs Fair Value
FAIR
Expected Move (7 Days)
±$6.41
(5.0%)
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$123.25
Resistance Level
$130.52
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Mar 31, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
12.52
Wall Street Target
$135.30
(+5.7%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
12.7%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
37.3%
Profit Margin
26.6%
Valuation Discount vs History
-1.2% cheaper
PE vs Historical
12.5 vs 13.0
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-1.2%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$126.52
(-1%)
2-Year Target
$125.01
(-2%)
3-Year Target
$123.50
(-4%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 13→13)
$128.27
(+0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.4, Growth: 5.8%)
$270.42
(+111%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 12.5, Growth: 5.8%)
$151.46
(+18%)
Bear:
(PE: 10.6, Growth: 5.8%)
$128.74
(+1%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (14x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (13x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 13.64 | Current EPS (TTM): $9.17
Bull Case
$153.19
(+22%)
Analyst growth 11.3%, PE expands to 15.0
Base Case
$139.26
(+11%)
Market implied 11.3%, PE stable at 13.6
Bear Case
$85.05
(-33%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 11.6
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 12.5 to 13.0
Stabilization Target:
$133.00
(+3.9%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+3.9%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: March 31, 2026 10:18 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 11:18 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 11:18 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is BOKF showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
5
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Steven Bangert
SELL
2500 shares
2026-01-22
Steven Bangert
SELL
1300 shares
2026-01-22
Steven Bangert
SELL
1000 shares
2025-12-01
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Advanced BOKF Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's BOKF price and gamma walls.
