BR Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
BR - Broadridge Financial Solutions Inc
$163.44
6.02 (3.82%)
▲
5d:
-4.33%
30d:
-12.07%
90d:
-28.38%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Mar 30, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: May 07, 2026
Smart Money Accumulation
BR is down 4.0% this week, but smart money is accumulating calls. Top strike: $190 2026-04-17 with 48 OI. Call ratio: 100% View Scanner →
Strength: 7.0/10
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: BR shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 7.9% decline. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: BR shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 7.9% decline. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$285.59
Based on 6.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$177.33
7.8% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 20.2x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: BR is currently trading at $163.44, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $168.22 to $187.37. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 15.8) compared to its historical average (20.2). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 7.9% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 101.7% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, BR is in a strong downtrend. Immediate support is located at $156.94, while resistance sits at $182.50. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 3.8% recently.
Market Sentiment: BR has a weak technical setup (25/100), with bearish trendlines and momentum suggesting caution for short-term entries. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $245.88 (+50.4%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, BR is in a strong downtrend. Immediate support is located at $156.94, while resistance sits at $182.50. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 3.8% recently.
Market Sentiment: BR has a weak technical setup (25/100), with bearish trendlines and momentum suggesting caution for short-term entries. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $245.88 (+50.4%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Fair Price Range
$168.22 -
$187.37
Company Quality Score
54/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
61.9%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (25/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Strong upward momentum (+3.8%)
- BULLISH: Trading 50.4% below Wall St target ($245.88)
Fair Price Analysis
30-Day Fair Range
$168.22 -
$187.37
Current vs Fair Value
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$156.94
Resistance Level
$182.50
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
Mar 30, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
15.79
Wall Street Target
$245.88
(+50.4%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
7.8%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
101.7%
Profit Margin
14.9%
Valuation Discount vs History
-7.9% cheaper
PE vs Historical
15.8 vs 20.2
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-7.9%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$150.53
(-8%)
2-Year Target
$138.64
(-15%)
3-Year Target
$127.68
(-22%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 16→20)
$163.33
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.4, Growth: 8.9%)
$298.69
(+83%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 15.8, Growth: 8.9%)
$211.03
(+29%)
Bear:
(PE: 13.4, Growth: 8.9%)
$179.38
(+10%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (19x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (16x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 19.31 | Current EPS (TTM): $9.03
Bull Case
$219.84
(+29%)
Analyst growth 14.6%, PE expands to 21.2
Base Case
$199.85
(+17%)
Market implied 14.6%, PE stable at 19.3
Bear Case
$118.56
(-31%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 16.4
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 15.8 to 20.2
Stabilization Target:
$209.07
(+27.9%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+27.9%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: March 30, 2026 10:20 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 11:20 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 11:20 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is BR showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
5
Buys
7
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Timothy C Gokey
BUY
5300 shares
2026-03-06
Ro Khanna
BUY
2026-02-24
Ro Khanna
SELL
2026-02-17
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