EPAM Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
EPAM - EPAM SYSTEMS, INC.
$90.01
-0.39 (-0.43%)
▼
5d:
-13.66%
30d:
-29.91%
90d:
-44.82%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: May 14, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: May 07, 2026
0d
Smart Money Accumulation
EPAM is down 4.4% this week, but smart money is accumulating calls. Top strike: $140 2026-07-17 with 66 OI. Call ratio: 64% View Scanner →
Strength: 3.6/10
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
⏸️ WAIT FOR STABILIZATION: EPAM is down 13.7% over the last 5 days. While fundamentals may be solid, catching a falling knife is risky. Wait for price to stabilize before entering.
⏸️ WAIT FOR STABILIZATION: EPAM is down 13.7% over the last 5 days. While fundamentals may be solid, catching a falling knife is risky. Wait for price to stabilize before entering.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$235.87
Based on 6.0% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$146.45
38.5% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 12.5x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: EPAM is currently trading at $90.00, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $103.77 to $130.31. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 6.4) compared to its historical average (12.5). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 20.0% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 18.8% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, EPAM is in a strong downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $89.25. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $147.88 (+63.6%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, EPAM is in a strong downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $89.25. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $147.88 (+63.6%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$103.77 -
$130.31
Company Quality Score
54/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
79.5%
Protect Your Profits
Holding EPAM? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 63.6% below Wall St target ($147.88)
- WARNING: Recommendation downgraded due to -13.7% 5-day decline - wait for stabilization
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$103.77 -
$130.31
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$89.25
Resistance Level
$116.31
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
May 14, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
6.41
Wall Street Target
$147.88
(+63.6%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
7.6%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
18.8%
Profit Margin
7.0%
Valuation Discount vs History
-20.0% cheaper
PE vs Historical
6.4 vs 12.5
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-20.0%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$81.35
(-10%)
2-Year Target
$73.22
(-19%)
3-Year Target
$65.89
(-27%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 6→13)
$128.55
(+42%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.0, Growth: 8.0%)
$391.88
(+334%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 6.4, Growth: 8.0%)
$113.93
(+26%)
Bear:
(PE: 5.4, Growth: 8.0%)
$96.84
(+7%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (14x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (6x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 13.99 | Current EPS (TTM): $6.96
Bull Case
$214.17
(+137%)
Analyst growth 100.0%, PE expands to 15.4
Base Case
$194.70
(+115%)
Market implied 100.0%, PE stable at 14.0
Bear Case
$66.20
(-27%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 11.9
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 6.4 to 12.5
Stabilization Target:
$176.33
(+95.1%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+95.1%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: May 14, 2026 3:09 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 4:09 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 4:09 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is EPAM showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
1
Buys
5
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Ro Khanna
SELL
2026-03-23
Gilbert Ray Cisneros, Jr.
BUY
2026-03-13
Ro Khanna
SELL
2026-02-24
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Advanced EPAM Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's EPAM price and gamma walls.
