BSBR Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
BSBR - BANCO SANTANDER (BRASIL) SA
$5.93
0.29 (5.14%)
▲
5d:
+4.22%
30d:
-7.92%
90d:
-1.82%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Mar 31, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Apr 29, 2026
27d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: BSBR shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 2.4% decline. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: BSBR shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 2.4% decline. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$9.65
Based on 8.7% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$5.99
1.1% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 7.6x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: BSBR is currently trading at $5.93, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $5.67 to $6.50. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 7.0) is in line with its historical norms (7.6). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 2.4% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 11.0% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, BSBR is in a strong downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $5.91. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 5.1% recently.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (45/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, BSBR is in a strong downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $5.91. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 5.1% recently.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (45/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Fair Price Range
$5.67 -
$6.50
Company Quality Score
62/100
(BUY)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
72.4%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (45/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Strong upward momentum (+5.1%)
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($6.28)
Fair Price Analysis
30-Day Fair Range
$5.67 -
$6.50
Current vs Fair Value
FAIR
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$5.49
Resistance Level
$5.91
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
Mar 31, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
7.05
Wall Street Target
$6.28
(+5.9%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-3.4%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
11.0%
Profit Margin
30.3%
Valuation Discount vs History
-2.4% cheaper
PE vs Historical
7.1 vs 7.6
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-2.4%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$5.79
(-2%)
2-Year Target
$5.65
(-5%)
3-Year Target
$5.51
(-7%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 7→8)
$5.94
(+0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.4, Growth: 13.3%)
$27.36
(+362%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 7.1, Growth: 13.3%)
$8.64
(+46%)
Bear:
(PE: 6.0, Growth: 13.3%)
$7.34
(+24%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (22x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (7x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 21.76 | Current EPS (TTM): $0.29
Bull Case
$13.88
(+140%)
Analyst growth 100.0%, PE expands to 23.9
Base Case
$12.62
(+118%)
Market implied 100.0%, PE stable at 21.8
Bear Case
$4.29
(-26%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 18.5
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 7.1 to 7.6
Stabilization Target:
$6.39
(+7.8%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+7.8%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: March 31, 2026 11:07 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 12:07 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 12:07 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is BSBR showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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