BSBR Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
BSBR - BANCO SANTANDER (BRASIL) SA
$6.92
-0.22 (-3.08%)
▼
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Last Updated: January 30, 2026
Earnings: Feb 27, 2026
26d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: BSBR is fairly valued with market pricing in 3.2% annual growth. Fine to hold or accumulate slowly on dips.
📊 HOLD: BSBR is fairly valued with market pricing in 3.2% annual growth. Fine to hold or accumulate slowly on dips.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$9.78
Based on 8.7% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$6.07
Trading above fair value
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 7.7x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: BSBR is currently trading at $6.92, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $6.04 to $6.72. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 8.5) compared to its historical average (7.7). At these levels, the market is pricing in 3.2% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, BSBR is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $6.11, while resistance sits at $7.32. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 3.1% recently.
Market Sentiment: BSBR has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. However, the stock is trading significantly above the average Wall Street target of $6.28. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, BSBR is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $6.11, while resistance sits at $7.32. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 3.1% recently.
Market Sentiment: BSBR has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. However, the stock is trading significantly above the average Wall Street target of $6.28. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Fair Price Range
$6.04 -
$6.72
Company Quality Score
61/100
(BUY)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
48.6%
Protect Your Profits
Holding BSBR? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (75/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BEARISH: Downward momentum (-3.1%)
- BEARISH: Trading 12.0% above Wall St target ($6.28)
- NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 3.2% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
Fair Price Analysis
30-Day Fair Range
$6.04 -
$6.72
Current vs Fair Value
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$6.11
Resistance Level
$7.32
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
8.49
Wall Street Target
$6.28
(-12.0%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-3.4%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
11.0%
Profit Margin
30.3%
Valuation Premium vs History
+3.2% premium
PE vs Historical
8.5 vs 7.7
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+3.2%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$7.37
(+3%)
2-Year Target
$7.60
(+7%)
3-Year Target
$7.85
(+10%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 8→8)
PE COMPRESSION
$7.12
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.3, Growth: 13.3%)
$27.30
(+282%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 8.5, Growth: 13.3%)
$10.40
(+46%)
Bear:
(PE: 7.2, Growth: 13.3%)
$8.84
(+24%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (22x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (8x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 21.76 | Current EPS (TTM): $0.29
Bull Case
$13.88
(+101%)
Analyst growth 100.0%, PE expands to 23.9
Base Case
$12.62
(+82%)
Market implied 100.0%, PE stable at 21.8
Bear Case
$4.29
(-38%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 18.5
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Last updated: January 31, 2026 7:46 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 8:46 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 8:46 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is BSBR showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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Advanced BSBR Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's BSBR price and gamma walls.
