BUSE Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
BUSE - First Busey Corporation Class A Common Stock
$24.73
0.11 (0.45%)
▲
5d:
-1.32%
30d:
-2.48%
90d:
+1.35%
BUY
HIGH Confidence
Analysis Updated: Mar 30, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Apr 28, 2026
27d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
✅ BUY SIGNAL: BUSE shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite slightly low pricing.
✅ BUY SIGNAL: BUSE shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite slightly low pricing.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$33.19
Based on 5.2% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$20.61
Trading above fair value
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 9.5x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: BUSE is currently trading at $24.73, which is considered slightly low relative to its 30-day fair value range of $24.63 to $25.65. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 9.1) is in line with its historical norms (9.5). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 1.3% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 26.9% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, BUSE is in a uptrend. Immediate support is located at $23.82, while resistance sits at $25.55.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (45/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $28.00 (+13.2%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, BUSE is in a uptrend. Immediate support is located at $23.82, while resistance sits at $25.55.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (45/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $28.00 (+13.2%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY LOW
Fair Price Range
$24.63 -
$25.65
Company Quality Score
58/100
(HOLD)
Options IV Signal
50th percentile
(NORMAL)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
75.8%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- NEUTRAL: Options fairly priced (IV 50th percentile)
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (45/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($28.00)
Fair Price Analysis
30-Day Fair Range
$24.63 -
$25.65
Current vs Fair Value
SLIGHTLY LOW
Expected Move (7 Days)
±$1.26
(5.1%)
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$23.82
Resistance Level
$25.55
Current Trend
Uptrend
Technical data as of
Mar 30, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
9.10
Wall Street Target
$28.00
(+13.2%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
70.5%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
26.9%
Profit Margin
20.3%
Valuation Discount vs History
-1.3% cheaper
PE vs Historical
9.1 vs 9.5
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-1.3%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$24.41
(-1%)
2-Year Target
$24.09
(-3%)
3-Year Target
$23.78
(-4%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 9→10)
$24.83
(+0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.4, Growth: 6.3%)
$72.89
(+195%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 9.1, Growth: 6.3%)
$29.67
(+20%)
Bear:
(PE: 7.7, Growth: 6.3%)
$25.22
(+2%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (17x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (9x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 16.67 | Current EPS (TTM): $1.47
Bull Case
$49.97
(+99%)
Analyst growth 85.4%, PE expands to 18.3
Base Case
$45.43
(+81%)
Market implied 85.4%, PE stable at 16.7
Bear Case
$16.66
(-34%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 14.2
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 9.1 to 9.5
Stabilization Target:
$25.83
(+4.4%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+4.4%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: March 31, 2026 6:23 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:23 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:23 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is BUSE showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
2
Buys
4
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Michael David Cassens
SELL
750 shares
2026-02-17
Michael David Cassens
SELL
750 shares
2026-01-15
Michael David Cassens
SELL
750 shares
2025-12-15
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