BUSE Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
BUSE - First Busey Corporation Class A Common Stock
$24.65
-0.03 (-0.12%)
▼
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Last Updated: January 30, 2026
Earnings: Apr 20, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: BUSE shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 1.3% decline. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: BUSE shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 1.3% decline. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$32.85
Based on 5.1% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$20.40
Trading above fair value
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 9.5x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: BUSE is currently trading at $24.65, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $23.93 to $24.89. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 9.1) is in line with its historical norms (9.5). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 1.3% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 28.6% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, BUSE is in a uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $24.05. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (55/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $27.57 (+11.9%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, BUSE is in a uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $24.05. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (55/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $27.57 (+11.9%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Fair Price Range
$23.93 -
$24.89
Company Quality Score
61/100
(BUY)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
70.0%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (55/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($27.57)
Fair Price Analysis
30-Day Fair Range
$23.93 -
$24.89
Current vs Fair Value
FAIR
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$24.05
Resistance Level
$26.08
Current Trend
Uptrend
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
9.14
Wall Street Target
$27.57
(+11.9%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
71.2%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
28.6%
Profit Margin
20.3%
Valuation Discount vs History
-1.3% cheaper
PE vs Historical
9.1 vs 9.5
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-1.3%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$24.33
(-1%)
2-Year Target
$24.01
(-3%)
3-Year Target
$23.70
(-4%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 9→10)
$24.64
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.3, Growth: 6.2%)
$72.01
(+192%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 9.1, Growth: 6.2%)
$29.51
(+20%)
Bear:
(PE: 7.8, Growth: 6.2%)
$25.09
(+2%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (18x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (9x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 18.48 | Current EPS (TTM): $1.32
Bull Case
$53.66
(+118%)
Analyst growth 100.0%, PE expands to 20.3
Base Case
$48.78
(+98%)
Market implied 100.0%, PE stable at 18.5
Bear Case
$16.59
(-33%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 15.7
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 9.1 to 9.5
Stabilization Target:
$25.62
(+3.9%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+3.9%
Last updated: January 31, 2026 9:58 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 10:58 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 10:58 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is BUSE showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
2
Buys
0
Sells
+
Net
INSIDERS BUYING
Recent Transactions
Karen M Jensen
BUY
3000 shares
2025-09-12
Scott A Phillips
BUY
1000 shares
2025-08-19
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Advanced BUSE Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's BUSE price and gamma walls.
