BVN Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
BVN - Compania de Minas Buenaventura S.A.
$34.06
-0.20 (-0.58%)
▼
5d:
-12.98%
30d:
+22.39%
90d:
+49.85%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Last Updated: February 2, 2026
Earnings: Feb 26, 2026
22d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
⏸️ WAIT FOR STABILIZATION: BVN is down 13.0% over the last 5 days. While fundamentals may be solid, catching a falling knife is risky. Wait for price to stabilize before entering.
⏸️ WAIT FOR STABILIZATION: BVN is down 13.0% over the last 5 days. While fundamentals may be solid, catching a falling knife is risky. Wait for price to stabilize before entering.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$75.05
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$46.60
26.9% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 11.5x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: BVN is currently trading at $34.06, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $29.95 to $37.26. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 10.2) compared to its historical average (11.5). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 4.0% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, BVN is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $32.79, while resistance sits at $41.28.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, BVN is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $32.79, while resistance sits at $41.28.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Fair Price Range
$29.95 -
$37.26
Company Quality Score
52/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
65.2%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BEARISH: Trading above Wall St target ($30.92)
- WARNING: Recommendation downgraded due to -13.0% 5-day decline - wait for stabilization
Fair Price Analysis
30-Day Fair Range
$29.95 -
$37.26
Current vs Fair Value
FAIR
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$32.79
Resistance Level
$41.29
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
10.16
Wall Street Target
$30.92
(-9.2%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
30.2%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-29.5%
Profit Margin
30.7%
Valuation Discount vs History
-4.0% cheaper
PE vs Historical
10.2 vs 11.5
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-4.0%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$32.70
(-4%)
2-Year Target
$31.39
(-8%)
3-Year Target
$30.13
(-12%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 10→12)
$34.10
(+0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.3, Growth: 54.3%)
$252.23
(+641%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 10.2, Growth: 54.3%)
$114.95
(+238%)
Bear:
(PE: 8.6, Growth: 54.3%)
$97.71
(+187%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (22x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (10x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 21.55 | Current EPS (TTM): $1.59
Bull Case
$75.37
(+121%)
Analyst growth 100.0%, PE expands to 23.7
Base Case
$68.52
(+101%)
Market implied 100.0%, PE stable at 21.6
Bear Case
$23.30
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 18.3
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 10.2 to 11.5
Stabilization Target:
$38.54
(+13.2%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+13.2%
Last updated: February 02, 2026 7:55 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 8:55 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 8:55 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is BVN showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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