BVN Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
BVN - Compania de Minas Buenaventura S.A.
$36.59
2.53 (7.43%)
▲
5d:
-4.14%
30d:
+27.98%
90d:
+60.69%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Last Updated: February 3, 2026
Earnings: Feb 26, 2026
21d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: BVN shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 1.4% decline. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: BVN shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 1.4% decline. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$74.40
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$46.20
20.8% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 11.4x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: BVN is currently trading at $36.59, which is considered slightly high relative to its 30-day fair value range of $30.09 to $37.35. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 10.9) is in line with its historical norms (11.4). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 1.4% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, BVN is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $32.79, while resistance sits at $41.28. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 7.4% recently.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (55/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. However, the stock is trading significantly above the average Wall Street target of $30.92. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, BVN is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $32.79, while resistance sits at $41.28. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 7.4% recently.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (55/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. However, the stock is trading significantly above the average Wall Street target of $30.92. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Fair Price Range
$30.09 -
$37.35
Company Quality Score
52/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
60.5%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (55/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Strong upward momentum (+7.4%)
- BEARISH: Trading 15.5% above Wall St target ($30.92)
Fair Price Analysis
30-Day Fair Range
$30.09 -
$37.35
Current vs Fair Value
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$32.79
Resistance Level
$41.29
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
10.92
Wall Street Target
$30.92
(-15.5%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
30.2%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-29.5%
Profit Margin
30.7%
Valuation Discount vs History
-1.4% cheaper
PE vs Historical
10.9 vs 11.4
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-1.4%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$36.08
(-1%)
2-Year Target
$35.57
(-3%)
3-Year Target
$35.07
(-4%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 11→11)
$36.62
(+0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.3, Growth: 54.3%)
$252.23
(+589%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 10.9, Growth: 54.3%)
$123.49
(+238%)
Bear:
(PE: 9.3, Growth: 54.3%)
$104.97
(+187%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (19x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (11x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 19.03 | Current EPS (TTM): $1.79
Bull Case
$70.15
(+92%)
Analyst growth 87.2%, PE expands to 20.9
Base Case
$63.77
(+74%)
Market implied 87.2%, PE stable at 19.0
Bear Case
$23.16
(-37%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 16.2
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 10.9 to 11.4
Stabilization Target:
$38.20
(+4.4%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+4.4%
Last updated: February 03, 2026 11:32 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 12:32 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 12:32 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is BVN showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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