BVN Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
BVN - Compania de Minas Buenaventura S.A.
$33.96
0.43 (1.28%)
▲
5d:
+7.06%
30d:
-22.23%
90d:
+14.92%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Mar 30, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Apr 29, 2026
29d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: BVN shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
📊 HOLD: BVN shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$15.86
Based on -13.9% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$9.85
Trading above fair value
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 11.5x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: BVN is currently trading at $33.96, which is considered slightly low relative to its 30-day fair value range of $33.28 to $40.04. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 11.1) is in line with its historical norms (11.5). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 1.3% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 1041.2% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, BVN is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $30.00, while resistance sits at $36.66.
Market Sentiment: BVN has a weak technical setup (25/100), with bearish trendlines and momentum suggesting caution for short-term entries. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, BVN is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $30.00, while resistance sits at $36.66.
Market Sentiment: BVN has a weak technical setup (25/100), with bearish trendlines and momentum suggesting caution for short-term entries. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY LOW
Fair Price Range
$33.28 -
$40.04
Company Quality Score
50/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
52.4%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (25/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($36.98)
Fair Price Analysis
30-Day Fair Range
$33.28 -
$40.04
Current vs Fair Value
SLIGHTLY LOW
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$30.00
Resistance Level
$36.66
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Mar 30, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
11.07
Wall Street Target
$36.98
(+8.9%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
108.1%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
1041.2%
Profit Margin
45.2%
Valuation Discount vs History
-1.3% cheaper
PE vs Historical
11.1 vs 11.5
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-1.3%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$33.52
(-1%)
2-Year Target
$33.08
(-3%)
3-Year Target
$32.65
(-4%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 11→12)
$33.93
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.4, Growth: -31.7%)
$50.00
(+47%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 11.1, Growth: -31.7%)
$24.76
(-27%)
Bear:
(PE: 9.4, Growth: -31.7%)
$21.04
(-38%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
Trailing PE: 9.18 | Current EPS (TTM): $3.30
Bull Case
$30.98
(-2%)
Analyst growth -7.0%, PE expands to 10.1
Base Case
$28.17
(-11%)
Market implied -7.0%, PE stable at 9.2
Bear Case
$20.60
(-35%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 7.8
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 11.1 to 11.5
Stabilization Target:
$35.29
(+3.9%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+3.9%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: March 30, 2026 6:10 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:10 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:10 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is BVN showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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