BVN Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

BVN - Compania de Minas Buenaventura S.A.

Metal Mining
$33.79
0.26 (0.78%) β–²
5d: +6.53%
30d: -22.62%
90d: +14.35%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Mar 30, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Apr 29, 2026 29d

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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πŸ’‘
Bottom Line:
πŸ“Š HOLD: BVN shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.

Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$15.86
Based on -13.9% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$9.85
Trading above fair value

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 11.5x Exit PE.

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: BVN is currently trading at $33.79, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $33.53 to $40.10. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 10.9) is in line with its historical norms (11.5). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 1.8% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 1041.2% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.

Technical Outlook: Technically, BVN is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $30.00, while resistance sits at $36.66.

Market Sentiment: BVN has a weak technical setup (25/100), with bearish trendlines and momentum suggesting caution for short-term entries. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $36.98 (+10.3%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position OVERSOLD
Fair Price Range $33.53 - $40.10
Company Quality Score 50/100 (HOLD)
Volume Confirmation HIGH
Confidence Score 54.8%

All Signals

  • BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
  • BEARISH: Weak technical setup (25/100)
  • BULLISH: High volume confirmation
  • BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($36.98)

Fair Price Analysis

30-Day Fair Range $33.53 - $40.10
Current vs Fair Value OVERSOLD

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $30.00
Resistance Level $36.66
Current Trend Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of Mar 30, 2026

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 10.93
Wall Street Target $36.98 (+10.3%)
Revenue Growth (YoY) 108.1%
Earnings Growth (YoY) 1041.2%
Profit Margin 45.2%
Valuation Discount vs History -1.8% cheaper
PE vs Historical 10.9 vs 11.5 FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY): -1.8% (market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target $32.93 (-2%)
2-Year Target $32.33 (-4%)
3-Year Target $31.75 (-5%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 11β†’12) $33.42 (0%)
3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull: (PE: 22.4, Growth: -31.7%) $50.11 (+50%)
Base: (SPY PE: 10.9, Growth: -31.7%) $24.44 (-27%)
Bear: (PE: 9.3, Growth: -31.7%) $20.78 (-38%)
πŸ“ˆ Valuation based on Current Earnings
Trailing PE: 9.18 | Current EPS (TTM): $3.30
Bull Case $30.98 (-2%)
Analyst growth -7.0%, PE expands to 10.1
Base Case $28.17 (-11%)
Market implied -7.0%, PE stable at 9.2
Bear Case $20.60 (-35%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 7.8
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
πŸ’‘ Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 10.9 to 11.5
Stabilization Target: $35.29 (+5.2%)
PE Expansion Potential: +5.2%
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Last updated: March 30, 2026 2:52 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 3:52 PM
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Insider Activity (6 Months)
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NEUTRAL

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