BYD Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

BYD - Boyd Gaming Corporation

HOTELS & MOTELS
$84.54
0.36 (0.43%) ▲
BUY
HIGH Confidence
Last Updated: January 30, 2026
Earnings: Feb 05, 2026 5d

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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💡
Bottom Line:
✅ BUY SIGNAL: BYD shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite slightly low pricing.

Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$122.32
Based on 7.3% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$75.95
Trading above fair value

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 11.0x Exit PE.

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: BYD is currently trading at $84.54, which is considered slightly low relative to its 30-day fair value range of $84.35 to $87.94. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 10.8) is in line with its historical norms (11.0). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 0.8% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 1147.6% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.

Technical Outlook: Technically, BYD is in a uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $82.00. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.

Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. In the options market, Implied Volatility is low (0th percentile), suggesting options premiums are relatively cheap. This makes it an attractive time for long options strategies if you have a directional bias. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $94.33 (+12.1%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position SLIGHTLY LOW
Fair Price Range $84.35 - $87.94
Company Quality Score 56/100 (HOLD)
Volume Confirmation HIGH
Confidence Score 81.5%

All Signals

  • BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
  • BULLISH: Options cheap (IV 0th percentile)
  • NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
  • BULLISH: High volume confirmation
  • BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($94.33)

Fair Price Analysis

30-Day Fair Range $84.35 - $87.94
Current vs Fair Value SLIGHTLY LOW
Expected Move (7 Days) ±$4.38 (5.2%)

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $82.01
Resistance Level $89.34
Current Trend Uptrend

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 10.75
Wall Street Target $94.33 (+12.1%)
Revenue Growth (YoY) 4.5%
Earnings Growth (YoY) 1147.6%
Profit Margin 46.0%
Valuation Discount vs History -0.8% cheaper
PE vs Historical 10.8 vs 11.0 FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY): -0.8% (market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target $83.51 (-1%)
2-Year Target $82.84 (-2%)
3-Year Target $82.18 (-2%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 11→11) $84.05 (0%)
3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull: (PE: 22.3, Growth: 10.6%) $235.92 (+180%)
Base: (SPY PE: 10.8, Growth: 10.6%) $113.77 (+35%)
Bear: (PE: 9.1, Growth: 10.6%) $96.71 (+15%)
📈 Valuation based on Current Earnings
Trailing PE: 3.66 | Current EPS (TTM): $22.47
Bull Case $45.23 (-46%)
Analyst growth -50.0%, PE expands to 4.0
Base Case $41.11 (-51%)
Market implied -50.0%, PE stable at 3.7
Bear Case $55.92 (-34%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 3.1
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡 Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 10.8 to 11.0
Stabilization Target: $86.10 (+2.3%)
PE Expansion Potential: +2.3%
Last updated: January 30, 2026 4:00 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 5:00 PM
🔥 Top Stocks Breaking Out Now
Ticker Score Recommendation Change %
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
8
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Marianne Boyd Johnson SELL 100000 shares 2025-09-04
Josh Hirsberg SELL 40035 shares 2025-08-22
Keith Smith SELL 25000 shares 2025-08-22

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Advanced BYD Option Strategies

Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's BYD price and gamma walls.

Iron Condor Bull Call Bear Put Collar

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