CAC Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
CAC - Camden National Corporation
$47.45
0.42 (0.89%)
β²
5d:
+1.52%
30d:
+1.17%
90d:
+6.97%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Mar 31, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: May 05, 2026
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Bottom Line:
π HOLD: CAC shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
π HOLD: CAC shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$64.95
Based on 6.4% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$40.33
Trading above fair value
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 8.1x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: CAC is currently trading at $47.45, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $45.61 to $47.22. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 8.1) is in line with its historical norms (8.1). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 0.1% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 33.8% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, CAC is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $47.51. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: CAC has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, CAC is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $47.51. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: CAC has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Fair Price Range
$45.61 -
$47.22
Company Quality Score
61/100
(BUY)
Options IV Signal
50th percentile
(NORMAL)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
59.6%
All Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- NEUTRAL: Options fairly priced (IV 50th percentile)
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (60/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($51.75)
Fair Price Analysis
30-Day Fair Range
$45.61 -
$47.22
Current vs Fair Value
EXTENDED
Expected Move (7 Days)
Β±$2.03
(4.3%)
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$44.59
Resistance Level
$47.51
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Mar 31, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
8.05
Wall Street Target
$51.75
(+9.1%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
39.2%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
33.8%
Profit Margin
27.9%
Valuation Discount vs History
-0.1% cheaper
PE vs Historical
8.1 vs 8.1
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-0.1%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$47.40
(0%)
2-Year Target
$47.36
(0%)
3-Year Target
$47.31
(0%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 8β8)
$47.63
(+0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.4, Growth: 8.7%)
$169.34
(+257%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 8.0, Growth: 8.7%)
$60.96
(+29%)
Bear:
(PE: 6.8, Growth: 8.7%)
$51.82
(+9%)
π
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (12x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (8x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 11.79 | Current EPS (TTM): $3.84
Bull Case
$76.46
(+64%)
Analyst growth 53.6%, PE expands to 13.0
Base Case
$69.51
(+49%)
Market implied 53.6%, PE stable at 11.8
Bear Case
$30.78
(-34%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 10.0
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
π‘
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 8.0 to 8.1
Stabilization Target:
$47.77
(+0.7%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+0.7%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: April 01, 2026 1:08 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 2:08 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 2:08 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is CAC showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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