CALM Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
CALM - Cal-Maine Foods Inc
$77.88
-5.48 (-6.57%)
▼
5d:
-1.04%
30d:
-12.0%
90d:
-2.12%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Apr 2, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Apr 01, 2026
0d
Smart Money Accumulation
CALM is down 6.2% this week, but smart money is accumulating calls. Top strike: $85 2026-05-15 with 799 OI. Call ratio: 65% View Scanner →
Strength: 4.6/10
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: CALM trades at premium valuation expecting 10.1% growth. Hold existing positions but don't chase. Wait for better entry.
📊 HOLD: CALM trades at premium valuation expecting 10.1% growth. Hold existing positions but don't chase. Wait for better entry.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$10.80
Based on -26.3% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$6.71
Trading above fair value
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 18.2x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: CALM is currently trading at $77.88, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $79.63 to $88.25. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 24.3) compared to its historical average (18.2). At these levels, the market is pricing in 10.1% annual earnings growth.
Technical Outlook: Technically, CALM is in a downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $76.78. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 6.6% recently.
Market Sentiment: CALM has a weak technical setup (25/100), with bearish trendlines and momentum suggesting caution for short-term entries. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, CALM is in a downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $76.78. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 6.6% recently.
Market Sentiment: CALM has a weak technical setup (25/100), with bearish trendlines and momentum suggesting caution for short-term entries. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Fair Price Range
$79.63 -
$88.25
Company Quality Score
57/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
51.0%
Protect Your Profits
Holding CALM? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (25/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BEARISH: Downward momentum (-6.6%)
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($87.25)
- BULLISH: Expecting earnings turnaround to 10.1% growth with -19.4% revenue growth
Fair Price Analysis
30-Day Fair Range
$79.63 -
$88.25
Current vs Fair Value
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$76.78
Resistance Level
$84.99
Current Trend
Downtrend
Technical data as of
Apr 2, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
24.30
Wall Street Target
$87.25
(+4.7%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-19.4%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-52.3%
Profit Margin
27.4%
Valuation Premium vs History
+10.1% premium
PE vs Historical
24.3 vs 18.2
STRETCHED
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+10.1%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$91.78
(+10%)
2-Year Target
$101.05
(+21%)
3-Year Target
$111.26
(+34%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 24→18)
PE COMPRESSION
$83.32
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 24.3, Growth: -56.6%)
$60.77
(+-27%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 22.4, Growth: -56.6%)
$55.89
(-33%)
Bear:
(PE: 18.2, Growth: -56.6%)
$45.51
(-45%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
Trailing PE: 3.31 | Current EPS (TTM): $23.67
Bull Case
$43.09
(-44%)
Analyst growth -50.0%, PE expands to 3.6
Base Case
$39.18
(-49%)
Market implied -50.0%, PE stable at 3.3
Bear Case
$53.28
(-31%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 2.8
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: April 02, 2026 2:06 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 3:06 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 3:06 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is CALM showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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Advanced CALM Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's CALM price and gamma walls.
