CALM Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
CALM - Cal-Maine Foods Inc
$79.15
0.49 (0.62%)
▲
5d:
+0.7%
30d:
-9.54%
90d:
-3.57%
BUY
HIGH Confidence
Analysis Updated: Mar 31, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Apr 01, 2026
TODAY
Smart Money Accumulation
CALM is down 6.2% this week, but smart money is accumulating calls. Top strike: $85 2026-05-15 with 799 OI. Call ratio: 65% View Scanner →
Strength: 4.6/10
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
✅ BUY SIGNAL: CALM shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite oversold pricing.
✅ BUY SIGNAL: CALM shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite oversold pricing.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$10.74
Based on -26.3% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$6.67
Trading above fair value
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 18.1x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: CALM is currently trading at $79.15, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $80.16 to $88.46. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 23.1) compared to its historical average (18.1). At these levels, the market is pricing in 8.4% annual earnings growth.
Technical Outlook: Technically, CALM is in a downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $76.78. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $87.25 (+10.2%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, CALM is in a downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $76.78. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $87.25 (+10.2%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Fair Price Range
$80.16 -
$88.46
Company Quality Score
61/100
(BUY)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
80.5%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($87.25)
- BULLISH: Expecting earnings turnaround to 8.4% growth with -19.4% revenue growth
Fair Price Analysis
30-Day Fair Range
$80.16 -
$88.46
Current vs Fair Value
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$76.78
Resistance Level
$86.62
Current Trend
Downtrend
Technical data as of
Mar 31, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
23.08
Wall Street Target
$87.25
(+10.2%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-19.4%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-52.3%
Profit Margin
27.4%
Valuation Premium vs History
+8.4% premium
PE vs Historical
23.1 vs 18.1
STRETCHED
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+8.4%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$85.80
(+8%)
2-Year Target
$93.01
(+18%)
3-Year Target
$100.82
(+27%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 23→18)
PE COMPRESSION
$79.08
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 23.1, Growth: -56.6%)
$57.70
(+-27%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 22.4, Growth: -56.6%)
$55.89
(-29%)
Bear:
(PE: 18.1, Growth: -56.6%)
$45.26
(-43%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
Trailing PE: 3.31 | Current EPS (TTM): $23.67
Bull Case
$43.09
(-44%)
Analyst growth -50.0%, PE expands to 3.6
Base Case
$39.18
(-49%)
Market implied -50.0%, PE stable at 3.3
Bear Case
$53.28
(-31%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 2.8
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: March 31, 2026 5:36 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:36 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:36 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is CALM showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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Advanced CALM Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's CALM price and gamma walls.
