CALM Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
CALM - Cal-Maine Foods Inc
$83.53
1.03 (1.25%)
▲
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Last Updated: January 30, 2026
Earnings: Mar 31, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: CALM shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 14.5% growth. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: CALM shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 14.5% growth. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$12.56
Based on -23.1% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$7.80
Trading above fair value
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 14.2x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: CALM is currently trading at $83.53, which is considered slightly high relative to its 30-day fair value range of $75.88 to $82.33. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 21.3) compared to its historical average (14.2). At these levels, the market is pricing in 14.5% annual earnings growth.
Technical Outlook: Technically, CALM is in a strong downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $84.88. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: CALM has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, CALM is in a strong downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $84.88. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: CALM has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Fair Price Range
$75.88 -
$82.33
Company Quality Score
57/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
74.8%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (60/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($87.75)
- BULLISH: Expecting earnings turnaround to 14.5% growth with -19.4% revenue growth
Fair Price Analysis
30-Day Fair Range
$75.88 -
$82.33
Current vs Fair Value
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$75.72
Resistance Level
$84.88
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
21.29
Wall Street Target
$87.75
(+6.4%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-19.4%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-52.3%
Profit Margin
27.4%
Valuation Premium vs History
+14.5% premium
PE vs Historical
21.3 vs 14.2
STRETCHED
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+14.5%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$94.46
(+15%)
2-Year Target
$108.16
(+31%)
3-Year Target
$123.84
(+50%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 21→14)
PE COMPRESSION
$82.60
(+0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.3, Growth: -50.2%)
$62.99
(+-24%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 21.3, Growth: -50.2%)
$60.14
(-27%)
Bear:
(PE: 14.2, Growth: -50.2%)
$40.11
(-51%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
Trailing PE: 3.53 | Current EPS (TTM): $23.67
Bull Case
$45.92
(-44%)
Analyst growth -50.0%, PE expands to 3.9
Base Case
$41.74
(-49%)
Market implied -50.0%, PE stable at 3.5
Bear Case
$56.77
(-31%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 3.0
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Last updated: January 30, 2026 5:36 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:36 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:36 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is CALM showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
1
Buys
0
Sells
+
Net
INSIDERS BUYING
Recent Transactions
Keira L Lombardo
BUY
2800 shares
2025-10-02
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Advanced CALM Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's CALM price and gamma walls.
