CBNA Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

CBNA - Chain Bridge Bancorp, Inc.

NATIONAL COMMERCIAL BANKS
$35.24
1.03 (3.01%) β–²
BUY
HIGH Confidence
Last Updated: January 30, 2026
Earnings: Apr 27, 2026

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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πŸ’‘
Bottom Line:
βœ… BUY SIGNAL: CBNA shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite slightly high pricing.

Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$14.92
Based on -11.3% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$9.26
Trading above fair value

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 8.7x Exit PE.

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: CBNA is currently trading at $35.24, which is considered slightly high relative to its 30-day fair value range of $32.80 to $35.28. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 10.6) compared to its historical average (8.7). At these levels, the market is pricing in 6.6% annual earnings growth.

Technical Outlook: Technically, CBNA is in a uptrend. Immediate support is located at $32.09, while resistance sits at $36.30. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 3.0% recently.

Market Sentiment: CBNA has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position SLIGHTLY HIGH
Fair Price Range $32.80 - $35.28
Company Quality Score 54/100 (HOLD)
Volume Confirmation HIGH
Confidence Score 79.5%

All Signals

  • BULLISH: Strong technical setup (60/100)
  • BULLISH: High volume confirmation
  • BULLISH: Strong upward momentum (+3.0%)
  • NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($35.00)
  • BULLISH: Expecting earnings turnaround to 6.6% growth with -21.5% revenue growth

Fair Price Analysis

30-Day Fair Range $32.80 - $35.28
Current vs Fair Value SLIGHTLY HIGH

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $32.09
Resistance Level $36.30
Current Trend Uptrend

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 10.58
Wall Street Target $35.00 (+2.3%)
Revenue Growth (YoY) -21.5%
Earnings Growth (YoY) -56.3%
Profit Margin 35.1%
Valuation Premium vs History +6.6% premium
PE vs Historical 10.6 vs 8.7 STRETCHED
Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY): +6.6% (market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target $36.47 (+7%)
2-Year Target $38.87 (+14%)
3-Year Target $41.44 (+21%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 11β†’9) PE COMPRESSION $34.08 (0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull: (PE: 22.3, Growth: -26.5%) $52.56 (+54%)
Base: (SPY PE: 10.6, Growth: -26.5%) $24.94 (-27%)
Bear: (PE: 8.7, Growth: -26.5%) $20.51 (-40%)
πŸ“ˆ Valuation based on Current Earnings
Trailing PE: 8.82 | Current EPS (TTM): $3.76
Bull Case $31.36 (-11%)
Analyst growth -14.0%, PE expands to 9.7
Base Case $28.51 (-19%)
Market implied -14.0%, PE stable at 8.8
Bear Case $22.54 (-36%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 7.5
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Last updated: January 30, 2026 9:44 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 10:44 PM
πŸ”₯ Top Stocks Breaking Out Now
Ticker Score Recommendation Change %
Insider Activity (6 Months)
1
Buys
0
Sells
+
Net
INSIDERS BUYING
Recent Transactions
Leigh-Alexandra Basha BUY 400 shares 2025-08-29

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Advanced CBNA Option Strategies

Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's CBNA price and gamma walls.

Iron Condor Bull Call Bear Put Collar

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