CEPU Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

CEPU - Central Puerto S.A. American Depositary Shares (each represents ten Common Shares)

Electric Services
$16.52
-0.61 (-3.56%) ▼
BUY
HIGH Confidence
Last Updated: January 30, 2026
Earnings: Mar 10, 2026

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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Bottom Line:
✅ BUY SIGNAL: CEPU shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite fair pricing.

Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$18.47
Based on 2.6% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$11.47
Trading above fair value

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 9.1x Exit PE.

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: CEPU is currently trading at $16.52, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $15.95 to $17.55. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 9.2) is in line with its historical norms (9.1). At these levels, the market is pricing in 0.6% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.

Technical Outlook: Technically, CEPU is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $14.77, while resistance sits at $17.98. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 3.6% recently.

Market Sentiment: CEPU has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $18.67 (+13.0%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position FAIR
Fair Price Range $15.95 - $17.55
Company Quality Score 55/100 (HOLD)
Volume Confirmation HIGH
Confidence Score 77.1%

All Signals

  • NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
  • BULLISH: Strong technical setup (75/100)
  • BULLISH: High volume confirmation
  • BEARISH: Downward momentum (-3.6%)
  • BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($18.67)
  • NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 0.6% annual earnings growth - fairly valued

Fair Price Analysis

30-Day Fair Range $15.95 - $17.55
Current vs Fair Value FAIR

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $14.77
Resistance Level $17.98
Current Trend Strong Uptrend

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 9.23
Wall Street Target $18.67 (+13.0%)
Revenue Growth (YoY) 34.9%
Earnings Growth (YoY) 178.2%
Profit Margin 32.7%
Valuation Premium vs History +0.6% premium
PE vs Historical 9.2 vs 9.1 FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY): +0.6% (market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target $16.62 (+1%)
2-Year Target $16.72 (+1%)
3-Year Target $16.82 (+2%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 9→9) PE COMPRESSION $16.58 (+0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull: (PE: 22.3, Growth: 1.1%) $41.29 (+150%)
Base: (SPY PE: 9.2, Growth: 1.1%) $17.09 (+3%)
Bear: (PE: 7.8, Growth: 1.1%) $14.52 (-12%)
📈 Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (14x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (9x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 13.72 | Current EPS (TTM): $1.26
Bull Case $27.02 (+64%)
Analyst growth 42.1%, PE expands to 15.1
Base Case $24.56 (+49%)
Market implied 42.1%, PE stable at 13.7
Bear Case $11.76 (-29%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 11.7
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Last updated: February 01, 2026 4:51 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 5:50 AM
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Ticker Score Recommendation Change %
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL

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Advanced CEPU Option Strategies

Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's CEPU price and gamma walls.

Iron Condor Bull Call Bear Put Collar

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