CFLT Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
CFLT - Confluent, Inc. Class A Common Stock
$30.54
-0.03 (-0.10%)
▼
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Last Updated: January 30, 2026
Earnings: Feb 11, 2026
11d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: CFLT shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 2.4% annual growth which appears achievable. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: CFLT shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 2.4% annual growth which appears achievable. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$21.21
Based on 12.2% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$13.17
Trading above fair value
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: CFLT is currently trading at $30.54, which is considered slightly high relative to its 30-day fair value range of $30.15 to $30.54. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 63.6) is in line with its historical norms (59.2). At these levels, the market is pricing in 2.4% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, CFLT is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $30.42. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, CFLT is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $30.42. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Fair Price Range
$30.15 -
$30.54
Company Quality Score
57/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
61.4%
Protect Your Profits
CFLT is technically overbought (RSI 73). Consider hedging now to protect against a potential pullback while keeping your upside.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($30.65)
- NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 2.4% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
Fair Price Analysis
30-Day Fair Range
$30.15 -
$30.54
Current vs Fair Value
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$30.42
Resistance Level
$30.60
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
63.63
Wall Street Target
$30.65
(+0.3%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
19.3%
Profit Margin
-27.3%
Valuation Premium vs History
+2.4% premium
PE vs Historical
63.6 vs 59.2
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+2.4%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$31.30
(+2%)
2-Year Target
$32.05
(+5%)
3-Year Target
$32.82
(+7%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 64→59)
PE COMPRESSION
$30.54
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 63.6, Growth: 20.4%)
$53.32
(+74%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 22.3, Growth: 20.4%)
$18.68
(-39%)
Bear:
(PE: 19.0, Growth: 20.4%)
$15.88
(-48%)
Last updated: January 30, 2026 4:12 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 5:12 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 5:12 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is CFLT showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
11
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
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Advanced CFLT Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's CFLT price and gamma walls.
