CHRD Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
CHRD - Chord Energy Corporation Common Stock
$142.00
5.04 (3.68%)
▲
5d:
-1.35%
30d:
+24.56%
90d:
+53.18%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Apr 2, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: May 05, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: CHRD shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 1.3% growth. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: CHRD shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 1.3% growth. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$208.58
Based on 8.8% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$129.51
Trading above fair value
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 15.8x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: CHRD is currently trading at $142.00, which is considered slightly high relative to its 30-day fair value range of $111.85 to $137.35. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 16.4) is in line with its historical norms (15.8). At these levels, the market is pricing in 1.3% annual earnings growth.
Technical Outlook: Technically, CHRD is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $126.67, while resistance sits at $148.41. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 3.7% recently.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (55/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, CHRD is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $126.67, while resistance sits at $148.41. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 3.7% recently.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (55/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Fair Price Range
$111.85 -
$137.35
Company Quality Score
64/100
(BUY)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
68.6%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (55/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Strong upward momentum (+3.7%)
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($150.33)
- BULLISH: Expecting earnings turnaround to 1.3% growth with -19.4% revenue growth
Fair Price Analysis
30-Day Fair Range
$111.85 -
$137.35
Current vs Fair Value
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$126.67
Resistance Level
$148.42
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Apr 2, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
16.36
Wall Street Target
$150.33
(+5.9%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-19.4%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-56.9%
Profit Margin
1.0%
Valuation Premium vs History
+1.3% premium
PE vs Historical
16.4 vs 15.8
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+1.3%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$143.85
(+1%)
2-Year Target
$145.72
(+3%)
3-Year Target
$147.61
(+4%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 16→16)
PE COMPRESSION
$142.57
(+0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.6, Growth: 13.6%)
$261.51
(+84%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 16.4, Growth: 13.6%)
$207.98
(+47%)
Bear:
(PE: 13.9, Growth: 13.6%)
$176.78
(+25%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (178x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (16x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 178.26 | Current EPS (TTM): $0.74
Bull Case
$290.20
(+122%)
Analyst growth 100.0%, PE expands to 196.1
Base Case
$263.82
(+102%)
Market implied 100.0%, PE stable at 178.3
Bear Case
$89.70
(-31%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 151.5
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: April 02, 2026 9:59 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 10:59 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 10:59 PM
🔥 Top Stocks Breaking Out Now
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Technical Signals Check
Is CHRD showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
2
Buys
8
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Michael H Lou
SELL
15000 shares
2026-03-12
Douglas E Brooks
SELL
2126 shares
2026-03-06
Lara J Kroll
SELL
5000 shares
2026-03-03
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