CHRD Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
CHRD - Chord Energy Corporation Common Stock
$141.41
4.45 (3.25%)
▲
5d:
-1.76%
30d:
+24.04%
90d:
+52.55%
BUY
HIGH Confidence
Analysis Updated: Apr 1, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: May 05, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
✅ BUY SIGNAL: CHRD shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite slightly high pricing.
✅ BUY SIGNAL: CHRD shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite slightly high pricing.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$208.58
Based on 8.8% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$129.51
Trading above fair value
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 15.8x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: CHRD is currently trading at $141.41, which is considered slightly high relative to its 30-day fair value range of $111.85 to $137.35. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 15.8) is in line with its historical norms (15.8). At these levels, the market is pricing in 0.1% annual earnings growth.
Technical Outlook: Technically, CHRD is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $126.67, while resistance sits at $148.41. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 3.2% recently.
Market Sentiment: CHRD has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, CHRD is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $126.67, while resistance sits at $148.41. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 3.2% recently.
Market Sentiment: CHRD has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Fair Price Range
$111.85 -
$137.35
Company Quality Score
63/100
(BUY)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
79.5%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (75/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Strong upward momentum (+3.2%)
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($148.39)
- BULLISH: Expecting earnings turnaround to 0.1% growth with -19.4% revenue growth
Fair Price Analysis
30-Day Fair Range
$111.85 -
$137.35
Current vs Fair Value
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$126.67
Resistance Level
$148.42
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Apr 2, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
15.78
Wall Street Target
$148.39
(+8.3%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-19.4%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-56.9%
Profit Margin
1.0%
Valuation Premium vs History
+0.1% premium
PE vs Historical
15.8 vs 15.8
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+0.1%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$137.10
(+0%)
2-Year Target
$137.23
(+0%)
3-Year Target
$137.37
(+0%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 16→16)
$137.56
(+0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.4, Growth: 13.6%)
$284.14
(+108%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 15.8, Growth: 13.6%)
$200.60
(+47%)
Bear:
(PE: 13.4, Growth: 13.6%)
$170.51
(+25%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (178x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (16x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 178.26 | Current EPS (TTM): $0.74
Bull Case
$290.20
(+122%)
Analyst growth 100.0%, PE expands to 196.1
Base Case
$263.82
(+102%)
Market implied 100.0%, PE stable at 178.3
Bear Case
$89.70
(-31%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 151.5
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: April 02, 2026 12:48 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 1:48 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 1:48 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is CHRD showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
2
Buys
8
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Michael H Lou
SELL
15000 shares
2026-03-12
Douglas E Brooks
SELL
2126 shares
2026-03-06
Lara J Kroll
SELL
5000 shares
2026-03-03
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