CLBT Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

CLBT - Cellebrite DI Ltd. Class A Ordinary Shares

Services-Prepackaged Software
$14.71
-0.58 (-3.79%) ▼
HOLD
LOW Confidence
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Last Updated: January 30, 2026
Earnings: Feb 11, 2026 9d

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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💡
Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: CLBT shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.

Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$18.21
Based on 5.9% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$11.31
Trading above fair value

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: CLBT is currently trading at $14.71, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $16.21 to $18.64. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 26.8) compared to its historical average (32.1). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 5.8% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.

Technical Outlook: Technically, CLBT is in a downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $14.66. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 3.8% recently.

Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $24.71 (+68.0%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position OVERSOLD
Fair Price Range $16.21 - $18.64
Company Quality Score 60/100 (BUY)
Volume Confirmation HIGH
Confidence Score 74.8%

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All Signals

  • BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
  • NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
  • BULLISH: High volume confirmation
  • BEARISH: Downward momentum (-3.8%)
  • BULLISH: Trading 68.0% below Wall St target ($24.71)
  • CAUTION: Recommendation downgraded due to -7.3% 5-day decline

Fair Price Analysis

30-Day Fair Range $16.21 - $18.64
Current vs Fair Value OVERSOLD

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $14.66
Resistance Level $17.45
Current Trend Downtrend

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 26.82
Wall Street Target $24.71 (+68.0%)
Revenue Growth (YoY) 17.9%
Earnings Growth (YoY) -76.9%
Profit Margin 16.7%
Valuation Discount vs History -5.8% cheaper
PE vs Historical 26.8 vs 32.1 CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY): -5.8% (market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target $13.86 (-6%)
2-Year Target $13.05 (-11%)
3-Year Target $12.30 (-16%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 27→32) $14.71 (0%)
3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull: (PE: 26.8, Growth: 7.7%) $18.39 (+25%)
Base: (SPY PE: 22.3, Growth: 7.7%) $15.29 (+4%)
Bear: (PE: 19.0, Growth: 7.7%) $12.99 (-12%)
📈 Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (42x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (27x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 42.13 | Current EPS (TTM): $0.38
Bull Case $25.42 (+73%)
Analyst growth 44.3%, PE expands to 46.3
Base Case $23.10 (+57%)
Market implied 44.3%, PE stable at 42.1
Bear Case $10.89 (-26%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 35.8
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡 Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 26.8 to 32.1
Stabilization Target: $17.60 (+19.7%)
PE Expansion Potential: +19.7%
Last updated: February 01, 2026 8:04 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 9:04 AM
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Ticker Score Recommendation Change %
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL

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Advanced CLBT Option Strategies

Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's CLBT price and gamma walls.

Iron Condor Bull Call Bear Put Collar

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