CMP Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
CMP - Compass Minerals International, Inc.
$24.98
-0.85 (-3.29%)
▼
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Last Updated: January 30, 2026
Earnings: Feb 09, 2026
8d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: CMP shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 4.0% growth. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: CMP shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 4.0% growth. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$44.70
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$27.75
10.0% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 22.8x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: CMP is currently trading at $24.98, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $20.63 to $24.80. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 25.7) compared to its historical average (22.8). At these levels, the market is pricing in 4.0% annual earnings growth.
Technical Outlook: Technically, CMP is in a uptrend. Immediate support is located at $22.45, while resistance sits at $26.38. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 3.3% recently.
Market Sentiment: CMP has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. In the options market, Implied Volatility is low (4th percentile), suggesting options premiums are relatively cheap. This makes it an attractive time for long options strategies if you have a directional bias. However, the stock is trading significantly above the average Wall Street target of $22.50. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, CMP is in a uptrend. Immediate support is located at $22.45, while resistance sits at $26.38. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 3.3% recently.
Market Sentiment: CMP has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. In the options market, Implied Volatility is low (4th percentile), suggesting options premiums are relatively cheap. This makes it an attractive time for long options strategies if you have a directional bias. However, the stock is trading significantly above the average Wall Street target of $22.50. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Fair Price Range
$20.63 -
$24.80
Company Quality Score
60/100
(BUY)
Options IV Signal
4th percentile
(LOW)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
60.4%
All Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- BULLISH: Options cheap (IV 4th percentile)
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (75/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BEARISH: Downward momentum (-3.3%)
- BEARISH: Trading 12.9% above Wall St target ($22.50)
- BULLISH: Expecting earnings turnaround to 4.0% growth with -25.0% revenue growth
Fair Price Analysis
30-Day Fair Range
$20.63 -
$24.80
Current vs Fair Value
EXTENDED
Expected Move (7 Days)
±$2.22
(8.9%)
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$22.45
Resistance Level
$26.38
Current Trend
Uptrend
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
25.66
Wall Street Target
$22.50
(-12.9%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-25.0%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-91.7%
Profit Margin
-12.5%
Valuation Premium vs History
+4.0% premium
PE vs Historical
25.7 vs 22.8
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+4.0%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$26.86
(+4%)
2-Year Target
$27.94
(+8%)
3-Year Target
$29.06
(+13%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 26→23)
PE COMPRESSION
$25.82
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 25.7, Growth: 34.0%)
$62.17
(+141%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 22.3, Growth: 34.0%)
$54.03
(+109%)
Bear:
(PE: 19.0, Growth: 34.0%)
$45.93
(+78%)
Last updated: January 31, 2026 1:04 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 2:04 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 2:04 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is CMP showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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Advanced CMP Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's CMP price and gamma walls.
