CMRE Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

CMRE - Costamare Inc.

Deep Sea Foreign Transportation of Freight
$16.59
-0.27 (-1.60%) β–Ό
5d: -1.07%
30d: -5.15%
90d: +6.35%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Mar 27, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: May 14, 2026

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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πŸ’‘
Bottom Line:
πŸ’‘ BUY OPPORTUNITY: CMRE shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 3.2% annual growth which appears achievable. Moderate conviction.

Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$15.11
Based on 0.0% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$9.38
Trading above fair value

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 5.8x Exit PE.

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: CMRE is currently trading at $16.59, which is considered slightly low relative to its 30-day fair value range of $16.56 to $17.39. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 6.4) is in line with its historical norms (5.8). At these levels, the market is pricing in 3.2% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.

Technical Outlook: Technically, CMRE is in a uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $16.30. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.

Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position SLIGHTLY LOW
Fair Price Range $16.56 - $17.39
Company Quality Score 56/100 (HOLD)
Options IV Signal 50th percentile (NORMAL)
Volume Confirmation HIGH
Confidence Score 74.6%

All Signals

  • BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
  • NEUTRAL: Options fairly priced (IV 50th percentile)
  • NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
  • BULLISH: High volume confirmation
  • NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($17.00)
  • NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 3.2% annual earnings growth - fairly valued

Fair Price Analysis

30-Day Fair Range $16.56 - $17.39
Current vs Fair Value SLIGHTLY LOW
Expected Move (7 Days) Β±$0.84 (5.1%)

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $16.30
Resistance Level $17.69
Current Trend Uptrend
Technical data as of Mar 27, 2026

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 6.36
Wall Street Target $17.00 (+2.5%)
Revenue Growth (YoY) -5.4%
Earnings Growth (YoY) 142.9%
Profit Margin 41.5%
Valuation Premium vs History +3.2% premium
PE vs Historical 6.4 vs 5.8 FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY): +3.2% (market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target $17.12 (+3%)
2-Year Target $17.67 (+7%)
3-Year Target $18.23 (+10%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 6β†’6) PE COMPRESSION $16.64 (+0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull: (PE: 22.4, Growth: -4.0%) $51.65 (+211%)
Base: (SPY PE: 6.4, Growth: -4.0%) $14.66 (-12%)
Bear: (PE: 5.4, Growth: -4.0%) $12.46 (-25%)
πŸ“ˆ Valuation based on Current Earnings
Trailing PE: 5.43 | Current EPS (TTM): $3.09
Bull Case $15.58 (-10%)
Analyst growth -15.5%, PE expands to 6.0
Base Case $14.16 (-18%)
Market implied -15.5%, PE stable at 5.4
Bear Case $11.40 (-34%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 4.6
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
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Last updated: March 30, 2026 8:56 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 9:56 AM
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Insider Activity (6 Months)
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Buys
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Net
NEUTRAL

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