CNP Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

CNP - CenterPoint Energy, Inc.

ELECTRIC SERVICES
$39.69
0.10 (0.25%) ▲
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
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Last Updated: January 30, 2026
Earnings: Feb 19, 2026 18d

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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💡
Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: CNP is fairly valued with market pricing in 0.8% annual growth. Fine to hold or accumulate slowly on dips.

Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$52.05
Based on 6.1% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$32.32
Trading above fair value

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 20.3x Exit PE.

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: CNP is currently trading at $39.69, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $38.04 to $39.41. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 20.8) is in line with its historical norms (20.3). At these levels, the market is pricing in 0.8% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.

Technical Outlook: Technically, CNP is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $40.00. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.

Market Sentiment: CNP has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position EXTENDED
Fair Price Range $38.04 - $39.41
Company Quality Score 63/100 (BUY)
Volume Confirmation HIGH
Confidence Score 58.1%

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All Signals

  • BEARISH: Price extended above range
  • BULLISH: Strong technical setup (75/100)
  • BULLISH: High volume confirmation
  • NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($42.38)
  • NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 0.8% annual earnings growth - fairly valued

Fair Price Analysis

30-Day Fair Range $38.04 - $39.41
Current vs Fair Value EXTENDED

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $38.40
Resistance Level $40.00
Current Trend Strong Uptrend

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 20.75
Wall Street Target $42.38 (+7.0%)
Revenue Growth (YoY) 7.1%
Earnings Growth (YoY) 50.6%
Profit Margin 11.4%
Valuation Premium vs History +0.8% premium
PE vs Historical 20.8 vs 20.3 FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY): +0.8% (market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target $39.91 (+1%)
2-Year Target $40.23 (+2%)
3-Year Target $40.55 (+2%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 21→20) PE COMPRESSION $39.67 (+0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull: (PE: 22.3, Growth: 8.2%) $53.97 (+36%)
Base: (SPY PE: 20.8, Growth: 8.2%) $50.22 (+27%)
Bear: (PE: 17.6, Growth: 8.2%) $42.69 (+8%)
📈 Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (25x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (21x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 25.18 | Current EPS (TTM): $1.58
Bull Case $52.85 (+33%)
Analyst growth 20.8%, PE expands to 27.7
Base Case $48.05 (+21%)
Market implied 20.8%, PE stable at 25.2
Bear Case $27.06 (-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 21.4
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Last updated: January 31, 2026 6:47 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:47 AM
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Ticker Score Recommendation Change %
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL

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Advanced CNP Option Strategies

Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's CNP price and gamma walls.

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