CNR Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

CNR - Core Natural Resources, Inc.

BITUMINOUS COAL & LIGNITE MINING
$95.38
-0.48 (-0.50%) ▼
BUY
HIGH Confidence
Last Updated: January 30, 2026
Earnings: Feb 19, 2026 18d

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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Bottom Line:
✅ BUY SIGNAL: CNR shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite fair pricing.

Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$121.79
Based on 7.0% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$75.62
Trading above fair value

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 11.1x Exit PE.

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: CNR is currently trading at $95.38, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $90.14 to $98.25. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 12.2) compared to its historical average (11.1). At these levels, the market is pricing in 3.2% annual earnings growth.

Technical Outlook: Technically, CNR is in a uptrend. Immediate support is located at $91.20, while resistance sits at $103.50.

Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. In the options market, Implied Volatility is low (4th percentile), suggesting options premiums are relatively cheap. This makes it an attractive time for long options strategies if you have a directional bias. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $114.75 (+19.7%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position FAIR
Fair Price Range $90.14 - $98.25
Company Quality Score 47/100 (HOLD)
Options IV Signal 4th percentile (COMPLACENCY WARNING)
Volume Confirmation HIGH
Confidence Score 78.5%

All Signals

  • NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
  • BULLISH: Options cheap (IV 4th percentile)
  • NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
  • BULLISH: High volume confirmation
  • BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($114.75)
  • BULLISH: Expecting earnings turnaround to 3.2% growth with 81.2% revenue growth

Fair Price Analysis

30-Day Fair Range $90.14 - $98.25
Current vs Fair Value FAIR
Expected Move (7 Days) ±$6.76 (7.1%)

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $91.20
Resistance Level $103.50
Current Trend Uptrend

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 12.24
Wall Street Target $114.75 (+19.7%)
Revenue Growth (YoY) 81.2%
Earnings Growth (YoY) -81.1%
Profit Margin -1.2%
Valuation Premium vs History +3.2% premium
PE vs Historical 12.2 vs 11.1 FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY): +3.2% (market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target $98.93 (+3%)
2-Year Target $102.09 (+7%)
3-Year Target $105.36 (+10%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 12→11) PE COMPRESSION $95.53 (0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
Last updated: January 31, 2026 9:38 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 10:38 AM
🔥 Top Stocks Breaking Out Now
Ticker Score Recommendation Change %
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
3
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
John Rothka SELL 1000 shares 2025-10-08
Richard A Navarre SELL 5000 shares 2025-09-25
Patrick A Kriegshauser SELL 3043 shares 2025-09-17

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Advanced CNR Option Strategies

Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's CNR price and gamma walls.

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