BTU Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
BTU - Peabody Energy Corporation
$22.30
0.10 (0.45%)
▲
5d:
-5.87%
30d:
-24.71%
90d:
-32.14%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 2, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Jul 30, 2026
25d
Smart Money Accumulation
None View Scanner →
Strength: 8.1/10
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: BTU shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
📊 HOLD: BTU shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$75.58
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$46.93
52.5% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 10.2x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: BTU is currently trading at $22.30, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $23.61 to $28.50. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 5.9) compared to its historical average (10.2). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 16.8% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, BTU is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $22.05. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: BTU has a weak technical setup (25/100), with bearish trendlines and momentum suggesting caution for short-term entries. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $34.33 (+54.0%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, BTU is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $22.05. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: BTU has a weak technical setup (25/100), with bearish trendlines and momentum suggesting caution for short-term entries. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $34.33 (+54.0%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$23.61 -
$28.50
Company Quality Score
51/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
57.1%
Protect Your Profits
Holding BTU? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (25/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 54.0% below Wall St target ($34.33)
- CAUTION: 5-day price weakness (-5.9%) - monitor closely
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$23.61 -
$28.50
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$22.05
Resistance Level
$25.81
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Jul 2, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
5.86
Wall Street Target
$34.33
(+54.0%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
3.9%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-62.6%
Profit Margin
-3.1%
Valuation Discount vs History
-16.8% cheaper
PE vs Historical
5.9 vs 10.2
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-16.8%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$20.07
(-10%)
2-Year Target
$18.06
(-19%)
3-Year Target
$16.26
(-27%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 6→10)
$28.29
(+27%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.8, Growth: 375.6%)
$279.70
(+1154%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 5.9, Growth: 375.6%)
$75.26
(+238%)
Bear:
(PE: 5.0, Growth: 375.6%)
$63.97
(+187%)
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 5.9 to 10.2
Stabilization Target:
$38.81
(+74.0%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+74.0%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: July 04, 2026 4:34 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 5:34 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 5:34 AM
🔥 Top Stocks Breaking Out Now
| Ticker | Score | Recommendation | Change % |
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Technical Signals Check
Is BTU showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
2
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Darren Ronald Yeates
SELL
13892 shares
2026-02-10
Scott T Jarboe
SELL
2151 shares
2026-01-14
Advanced BTU Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's BTU price and gamma walls.
