BTU Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
BTU - Peabody Energy Corporation
$23.77
-0.49 (-2.02%)
▼
5d:
+0.76%
30d:
-11.73%
90d:
-31.0%
BUY
HIGH Confidence
Analysis Updated: May 15, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: May 05, 2026
0d
Smart Money Accumulation
BTU is down 3.6% this week, but smart money is accumulating calls. Top strike: $27 2026-06-18 with 5,715 OI. Call ratio: 78% View Scanner →
Strength: 4.6/10
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
✅ BUY SIGNAL: BTU trading at deep discount. Market pricing in -15.6% annual earnings decline, creating value opportunity for patient investors.
✅ BUY SIGNAL: BTU trading at deep discount. Market pricing in -15.6% annual earnings decline, creating value opportunity for patient investors.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$76.81
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$47.69
50.2% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 11.1x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: BTU is currently trading at $23.77, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $24.55 to $28.96. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 6.7) compared to its historical average (11.1). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 15.6% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, BTU is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $23.58. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (45/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $35.58 (+49.7%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, BTU is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $23.58. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (45/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $35.58 (+49.7%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$24.55 -
$28.96
Company Quality Score
53/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
79.5%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (45/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 49.7% below Wall St target ($35.58)
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$24.55 -
$28.96
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$23.58
Resistance Level
$26.79
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
May 15, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
6.69
Wall Street Target
$35.58
(+49.7%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
3.9%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-62.6%
Profit Margin
-3.1%
Valuation Discount vs History
-15.6% cheaper
PE vs Historical
6.7 vs 11.1
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-15.6%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$21.39
(-10%)
2-Year Target
$19.25
(-19%)
3-Year Target
$17.33
(-27%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 7→11)
$28.75
(+21%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.1, Growth: 217.3%)
$264.67
(+1014%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 6.7, Growth: 217.3%)
$80.22
(+238%)
Bear:
(PE: 5.7, Growth: 217.3%)
$68.19
(+187%)
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 6.7 to 11.1
Stabilization Target:
$39.44
(+65.9%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+65.9%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: May 15, 2026 10:18 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 11:18 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 11:18 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is BTU showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
2
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Darren Ronald Yeates
SELL
13892 shares
2026-02-10
Scott T Jarboe
SELL
2151 shares
2026-01-14
Advanced BTU Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's BTU price and gamma walls.
