CNXN Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
CNXN - PC Connection Inc
$58.81
0.73 (1.26%)
▲
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Last Updated: January 30, 2026
Earnings: Feb 04, 2026
3d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: CNXN shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 0.3% decline. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: CNXN shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 0.3% decline. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$85.45
Based on 7.9% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$53.06
Trading above fair value
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 15.4x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: CNXN is currently trading at $58.81, which is considered slightly high relative to its 30-day fair value range of $57.29 to $58.95. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 15.3) is in line with its historical norms (15.4). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 0.3% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, CNXN is in a downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $59.45. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (45/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $76.00 (+30.9%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, CNXN is in a downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $59.45. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (45/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $76.00 (+30.9%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Fair Price Range
$57.29 -
$58.95
Company Quality Score
61/100
(BUY)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
65.2%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (45/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 30.9% below Wall St target ($76.00)
Fair Price Analysis
30-Day Fair Range
$57.29 -
$58.95
Current vs Fair Value
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$55.51
Resistance Level
$59.45
Current Trend
Downtrend
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
15.28
Wall Street Target
$76.00
(+30.9%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-2.2%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-4.9%
Profit Margin
2.9%
Valuation Discount vs History
-0.3% cheaper
PE vs Historical
15.3 vs 15.4
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-0.3%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$57.91
(0%)
2-Year Target
$57.73
(-1%)
3-Year Target
$57.56
(-1%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 15→15)
$57.99
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.3, Growth: 11.8%)
$118.30
(+104%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 15.3, Growth: 11.8%)
$81.09
(+40%)
Bear:
(PE: 13.0, Growth: 11.8%)
$68.92
(+19%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (18x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (15x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 17.86 | Current EPS (TTM): $3.24
Bull Case
$74.67
(+27%)
Analyst growth 17.3%, PE expands to 19.7
Base Case
$67.88
(+15%)
Market implied 17.3%, PE stable at 17.9
Bear Case
$39.36
(-33%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 15.2
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 15.3 to 15.4
Stabilization Target:
$58.52
(+0.8%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+0.8%
Last updated: January 31, 2026 1:09 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 2:09 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 2:09 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is CNXN showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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