AVT Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
AVT - Avnet, Inc.
$82.18
-5.10 (-5.84%)
▼
5d:
-9.5%
30d:
-11.57%
90d:
+30.63%
HOLD
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 2, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 05, 2026
Smart Money Accumulation
None View Scanner →
Strength: 5.7/10
Get Alerted When AVT Hits Your Target Price
Join 10,000+ traders who never miss a move
You're in! Check your email to confirm and set your target price.
100% Free
No spam, ever
Unsubscribe anytime
Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
Loading chart...
Loading historical data...
Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: AVT is fairly valued with market pricing in 0.5% annual growth. Fine to hold or accumulate slowly on dips.
📊 HOLD: AVT is fairly valued with market pricing in 0.5% annual growth. Fine to hold or accumulate slowly on dips.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$156.77
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$97.34
15.6% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 10.2x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: AVT is currently trading at $82.18, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $86.18 to $91.14. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 10.4) is in line with its historical norms (10.2). At these levels, the market is pricing in 0.5% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, AVT is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $81.10. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 5.8% recently.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. In the options market, Implied Volatility is low (20th percentile), suggesting options premiums are relatively cheap. This makes it an attractive time for long options strategies if you have a directional bias. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, AVT is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $81.10. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 5.8% recently.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. In the options market, Implied Volatility is low (20th percentile), suggesting options premiums are relatively cheap. This makes it an attractive time for long options strategies if you have a directional bias. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$86.18 -
$91.14
Company Quality Score
50/100
(HOLD)
Options IV Signal
20th percentile
(LOW)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
76.5%
Protect Your Profits
Holding AVT? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BULLISH: Options cheap (IV 20th percentile)
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BEARISH: Downward momentum (-5.8%)
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($89.00)
- NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 0.5% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
- CAUTION: Recommendation downgraded due to -9.5% 5-day decline
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$86.18 -
$91.14
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Expected Move (7 Days)
±$5.71
(7.0%)
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$81.10
Resistance Level
$93.37
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Jul 2, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
10.41
Wall Street Target
$89.00
(+8.3%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
33.9%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
12.9%
Profit Margin
0.9%
Valuation Premium vs History
+0.5% premium
PE vs Historical
10.4 vs 10.2
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+0.5%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$82.59
(+1%)
2-Year Target
$83.00
(+1%)
3-Year Target
$83.42
(+2%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 10→10)
PE COMPRESSION
$81.72
(-1%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.8, Growth: 53.8%)
$580.16
(+606%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 10.4, Growth: 53.8%)
$277.36
(+238%)
Bear:
(PE: 8.9, Growth: 53.8%)
$235.75
(+187%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (34x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (10x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 33.70 | Current EPS (TTM): $2.59
Bull Case
$192.02
(+134%)
Analyst growth 100.0%, PE expands to 37.1
Base Case
$174.56
(+112%)
Market implied 100.0%, PE stable at 33.7
Bear Case
$59.35
(-28%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 28.6
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: July 04, 2026 4:26 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 5:26 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 5:26 AM
🔥 Top Stocks Breaking Out Now
| Ticker | Score | Recommendation | Change % |
|---|
Technical Signals Check
Is AVT showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
Featured in Portfolios
AVT is a key holding in these high-performance investment strategies.
Top Rated Electronics & Computer Distribution Stocks
Top-rated stocks in Electronics & Computer Distribution by analyst ratings.
Advanced AVT Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's AVT price and gamma walls.
