AVT Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
AVT - Avnet, Inc.
$86.67
0.45 (0.52%)
▲
5d:
+7.19%
30d:
+23.43%
90d:
+31.4%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: May 14, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 05, 2026
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2 traders called AVT this week
50% bullish • 1 bearish
50% bullish • 1 bearish
Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: AVT is fairly valued with market pricing in 3.6% annual growth. Fine to hold or accumulate slowly on dips.
📊 HOLD: AVT is fairly valued with market pricing in 3.6% annual growth. Fine to hold or accumulate slowly on dips.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$152.23
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$94.53
8.3% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 10.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: AVT is currently trading at $86.67, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $69.56 to $82.62. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 11.1) compared to its historical average (10.0). At these levels, the market is pricing in 3.6% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, AVT is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $87.46. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: AVT has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, AVT is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $87.46. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: AVT has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$69.56 -
$82.62
Company Quality Score
59/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
55.7%
Protect Your Profits
AVT is technically overbought (RSI 74). Consider hedging now to protect against a potential pullback while keeping your upside.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (60/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BEARISH: Trading above Wall St target ($81.50)
- NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 3.6% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$69.56 -
$82.62
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$80.03
Resistance Level
$87.46
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
May 14, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
11.09
Wall Street Target
$81.50
(-6.0%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
33.9%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
12.9%
Profit Margin
0.9%
Valuation Premium vs History
+3.6% premium
PE vs Historical
11.1 vs 10.0
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+3.6%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$89.79
(+4%)
2-Year Target
$93.02
(+7%)
3-Year Target
$96.37
(+11%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 11→10)
PE COMPRESSION
$86.93
(+0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.0, Growth: 52.4%)
$581.50
(+571%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 11.1, Growth: 52.4%)
$292.51
(+238%)
Bear:
(PE: 9.4, Growth: 52.4%)
$248.63
(+187%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (33x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (11x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 33.29 | Current EPS (TTM): $2.59
Bull Case
$189.68
(+119%)
Analyst growth 100.0%, PE expands to 36.6
Base Case
$172.44
(+99%)
Market implied 100.0%, PE stable at 33.3
Bear Case
$58.63
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 28.3
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: May 15, 2026 2:41 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 3:41 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 3:41 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is AVT showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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