CRC Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
CRC - California Resources Corporation
$66.03
-3.19 (-4.61%)
▼
5d:
-1.39%
30d:
+9.19%
90d:
+47.78%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Apr 1, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: May 05, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: CRC shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
📊 HOLD: CRC shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$76.81
Based on -0.8% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$47.69
Trading above fair value
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 24.5x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: CRC is currently trading at $66.03, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $59.64 to $66.29. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 20.1) compared to its historical average (24.5). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 6.3% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, CRC is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $62.60, while resistance sits at $71.98. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 4.6% recently.
Market Sentiment: CRC has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $77.58 (+17.5%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, CRC is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $62.60, while resistance sits at $71.98. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 4.6% recently.
Market Sentiment: CRC has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $77.58 (+17.5%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Fair Price Range
$59.64 -
$66.29
Company Quality Score
63/100
(BUY)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
54.8%
All Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (75/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BEARISH: Downward momentum (-4.6%)
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($77.58)
Fair Price Analysis
30-Day Fair Range
$59.64 -
$66.29
Current vs Fair Value
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$62.60
Resistance Level
$71.98
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Apr 1, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
20.12
Wall Street Target
$77.58
(+17.5%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-13.8%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-61.5%
Profit Margin
10.7%
Valuation Discount vs History
-6.3% cheaper
PE vs Historical
20.1 vs 24.5
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-6.3%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$61.87
(-6%)
2-Year Target
$57.97
(-12%)
3-Year Target
$54.32
(-18%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 20→25)
$66.14
(+0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.4, Growth: -5.7%)
$61.54
(+-7%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 20.1, Growth: -5.7%)
$55.41
(-16%)
Bear:
(PE: 17.1, Growth: -5.7%)
$47.10
(-29%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
Trailing PE: 15.32 | Current EPS (TTM): $4.15
Bull Case
$51.87
(-19%)
Analyst growth -25.8%, PE expands to 16.9
Base Case
$47.16
(-26%)
Market implied -25.8%, PE stable at 15.3
Bear Case
$43.22
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 13.0
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 20.1 to 24.5
Stabilization Target:
$80.40
(+21.8%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+21.8%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: April 02, 2026 4:17 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 5:17 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 5:17 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is CRC showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
1
Buys
4
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Christopher D Gould
SELL
24347 shares
2026-03-11
Omar Hayat
SELL
23000 shares
2026-03-09
Mark Allen Mcfarland
SELL
16372 shares
2026-03-06
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