CRGY Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
CRGY - Crescent Energy Company
$9.77
0.19 (1.98%)
▲
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Last Updated: January 30, 2026
Earnings: Feb 25, 2026
25d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD - EXTENDED: CRGY is 9.0% above fair value ($8.96). Fundamentals are solid but entry is stretched. Hold existing positions; wait for pullback to add new shares.
📊 HOLD - EXTENDED: CRGY is 9.0% above fair value ($8.96). Fundamentals are solid but entry is stretched. Hold existing positions; wait for pullback to add new shares.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$4.88
Based on -8.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$3.03
Trading above fair value
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 6.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: CRGY is currently trading at $9.77, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $8.04 to $8.96. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 7.4) compared to its historical average (6.0). At these levels, the market is pricing in 7.1% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, CRGY is in a uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $9.90. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (45/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $13.00 (+35.7%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, CRGY is in a uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $9.90. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (45/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $13.00 (+35.7%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Fair Price Range
$8.04 -
$8.96
Company Quality Score
59/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
45.2%
Protect Your Profits
Holding CRGY? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range (+9.0% above fair value)
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (45/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 35.7% below Wall St target ($13.00)
- NEUTRAL: Trading at premium valuation - market expects 7.1% growth which is achievable
Fair Price Analysis
30-Day Fair Range
$8.04 -
$8.96
Current vs Fair Value
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$8.14
Resistance Level
$9.90
Current Trend
Uptrend
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
7.37
Wall Street Target
$13.00
(+35.7%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
16.3%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
80.0%
Profit Margin
0.7%
Valuation Premium vs History
+7.1% premium
PE vs Historical
7.4 vs 6.0
STRETCHED
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+7.1%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$10.26
(+7%)
2-Year Target
$10.99
(+15%)
3-Year Target
$11.77
(+23%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 7→6)
PE COMPRESSION
$9.58
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.3, Growth: -21.0%)
$21.13
(+121%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 7.4, Growth: -21.0%)
$6.98
(-27%)
Bear:
(PE: 6.0, Growth: -21.0%)
$5.68
(-41%)
Last updated: January 30, 2026 4:06 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 5:06 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 5:06 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is CRGY showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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Advanced CRGY Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's CRGY price and gamma walls.
