CRWD Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
CRWD - CrowdStrike Holdings, Inc. Class A Common Stock
$441.41
-3.22 (-0.72%)
▼
BUY
HIGH Confidence
Last Updated: January 30, 2026
Earnings: Mar 03, 2026
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7 traders called CRWD this week
100% bullish • 0 bearish
100% bullish • 0 bearish
Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
✅ BUY SIGNAL: CRWD appears deeply undervalued. Market expects -3.9% annual earnings decline despite 533% recent earnings growth. Contrarian opportunity at discount to historical valuation.
✅ BUY SIGNAL: CRWD appears deeply undervalued. Market expects -3.9% annual earnings decline despite 533% recent earnings growth. Contrarian opportunity at discount to historical valuation.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$235.32
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$146.12
Trading above fair value
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: CRWD is currently trading at $441.40, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $451.38 to $476.17. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 92.0) compared to its historical average (103.5). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 3.9% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 533.3% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, CRWD is showing sideways momentum. The price is currently testing key support at $431.39. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (45/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $554.34 (+24.7%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, CRWD is showing sideways momentum. The price is currently testing key support at $431.39. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (45/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $554.34 (+24.7%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Fair Price Range
$451.38 -
$476.17
Company Quality Score
59/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
79.5%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (45/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 24.7% below Wall St target ($554.34)
Fair Price Analysis
30-Day Fair Range
$451.38 -
$476.17
Current vs Fair Value
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$431.39
Resistance Level
$487.20
Current Trend
Sideways
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
91.98
Wall Street Target
$554.34
(+24.7%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
22.2%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
533.3%
Profit Margin
-6.9%
Valuation Discount vs History
-3.9% cheaper
PE vs Historical
92.0 vs 103.5
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-3.9%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$427.28
(-4%)
2-Year Target
$410.62
(-8%)
3-Year Target
$394.60
(-11%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 92→104)
$444.01
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 92.0, Growth: 30.0%)
$977.33
(+120%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 22.3, Growth: 30.0%)
$236.94
(-47%)
Bear:
(PE: 19.0, Growth: 30.0%)
$201.40
(-55%)
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 92.0 to 103.5
Stabilization Target:
$500.29
(+12.5%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+12.5%
Last updated: January 30, 2026 4:12 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 5:12 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 5:12 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is CRWD showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
2
Buys
15
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Johanna Flower
SELL
2347 shares
2025-10-15
Michael Sentonas
SELL
10000 shares
2025-10-10
Michael Sentonas
SELL
15000 shares
2025-10-08
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