CSGS Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
CSGS - CSG Systems International
$79.75
0.10 (0.13%)
▲
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Last Updated: January 30, 2026
Earnings: Feb 04, 2026
3d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: CSGS shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 0.8% annual growth which appears achievable. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: CSGS shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 0.8% annual growth which appears achievable. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$104.27
Based on 6.0% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$64.74
Trading above fair value
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 15.2x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: CSGS is currently trading at $79.75, which is considered slightly high relative to its 30-day fair value range of $77.41 to $79.99. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 15.5) is in line with its historical norms (15.2). At these levels, the market is pricing in 0.8% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, CSGS is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $79.40. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, CSGS is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $79.40. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Fair Price Range
$77.41 -
$79.99
Company Quality Score
58/100
(HOLD)
Options IV Signal
50th percentile
(NORMAL)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
63.1%
Protect Your Profits
CSGS is technically overbought (RSI 72). Consider hedging now to protect against a potential pullback while keeping your upside.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- NEUTRAL: Options fairly priced (IV 50th percentile)
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($80.70)
- NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 0.8% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
Fair Price Analysis
30-Day Fair Range
$77.41 -
$79.99
Current vs Fair Value
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Expected Move (7 Days)
±$0.66
(0.8%)
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$79.40
Resistance Level
$80.28
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
15.53
Wall Street Target
$80.70
(+1.3%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
2.9%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
9.0%
Profit Margin
6.9%
Valuation Premium vs History
+0.8% premium
PE vs Historical
15.5 vs 15.2
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+0.8%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$80.29
(+1%)
2-Year Target
$80.93
(+2%)
3-Year Target
$81.58
(+2%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 16→15)
PE COMPRESSION
$79.84
(+0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.3, Growth: 8.0%)
$143.92
(+81%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 15.5, Growth: 8.0%)
$100.24
(+26%)
Bear:
(PE: 13.2, Growth: 8.0%)
$85.20
(+7%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (27x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (16x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 27.14 | Current EPS (TTM): $2.94
Bull Case
$153.10
(+92%)
Analyst growth 74.4%, PE expands to 29.9
Base Case
$139.18
(+75%)
Market implied 74.4%, PE stable at 27.1
Bear Case
$54.26
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 23.1
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Last updated: January 31, 2026 2:00 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 3:00 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 3:00 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is CSGS showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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Advanced CSGS Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's CSGS price and gamma walls.
