CSTM Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
CSTM - Constellium SE Class A Ordinary shares
$23.06
-0.31 (-1.33%)
▼
5d:
-3.23%
30d:
-7.35%
90d:
+21.69%
BUY
HIGH Confidence
Analysis Updated: Mar 30, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Apr 29, 2026
29d
Smart Money Accumulation
CSTM is down 3.4% this week, but smart money is accumulating calls. Top strike: $30 2026-05-15 with 780 OI. Call ratio: 97% View Scanner →
Strength: 6.4/10
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
✅ BUY SIGNAL: CSTM appears deeply undervalued. Market expects -3.4% annual earnings decline despite 1189% recent earnings growth. Contrarian opportunity at discount to historical valuation.
✅ BUY SIGNAL: CSTM appears deeply undervalued. Market expects -3.4% annual earnings decline despite 1189% recent earnings growth. Contrarian opportunity at discount to historical valuation.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$35.71
Based on 6.6% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$22.17
Trading above fair value
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 13.8x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: CSTM is currently trading at $23.06, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $23.95 to $25.95. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 12.4) compared to its historical average (13.8). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 3.4% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 1188.7% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, CSTM is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $22.03, while resistance sits at $25.68.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $28.50 (+21.9%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, CSTM is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $22.03, while resistance sits at $25.68.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $28.50 (+21.9%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Fair Price Range
$23.95 -
$25.95
Company Quality Score
55/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
79.5%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 21.9% below Wall St target ($28.50)
Fair Price Analysis
30-Day Fair Range
$23.95 -
$25.95
Current vs Fair Value
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$22.03
Resistance Level
$25.68
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Mar 30, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
12.42
Wall Street Target
$28.50
(+21.9%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
27.9%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
1188.7%
Profit Margin
3.2%
Valuation Discount vs History
-3.4% cheaper
PE vs Historical
12.4 vs 13.8
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-3.4%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$22.58
(-3%)
2-Year Target
$21.81
(-7%)
3-Year Target
$21.07
(-10%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 12→14)
$23.40
(+0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.4, Growth: 9.2%)
$54.85
(+135%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 12.4, Growth: 9.2%)
$30.42
(+30%)
Bear:
(PE: 10.6, Growth: 9.2%)
$25.86
(+11%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
Trailing PE: 11.66 | Current EPS (TTM): $1.92
Bull Case
$24.12
(+1%)
Analyst growth -2.0%, PE expands to 12.8
Base Case
$21.93
(-8%)
Market implied -2.0%, PE stable at 11.7
Bear Case
$15.22
(-36%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 9.9
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 12.4 to 13.8
Stabilization Target:
$25.96
(+11.1%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+11.1%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: March 30, 2026 4:50 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 5:50 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 5:50 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is CSTM showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
1
Buys
13
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
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SELL
4614 shares
2026-03-10
Jack Q Guo
SELL
41717 shares
2026-03-10
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1113 shares
2026-03-10
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