CTLP Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
CTLP - Cantaloupe, Inc. Common Stock
$10.74
-0.01 (-0.09%)
▼
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Last Updated: January 30, 2026
Earnings: Feb 05, 2026
4d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: CTLP shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 2.1% decline. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: CTLP shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 2.1% decline. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$16.03
Based on 7.0% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$9.95
Trading above fair value
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 22.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: CTLP is currently trading at $10.74, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $10.63 to $10.82. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 20.7) is in line with its historical norms (22.0). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 2.1% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 201.7% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, CTLP is in a uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $10.68. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, CTLP is in a uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $10.68. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Fair Price Range
$10.63 -
$10.82
Company Quality Score
57/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
67.6%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($11.20)
Fair Price Analysis
30-Day Fair Range
$10.63 -
$10.82
Current vs Fair Value
FAIR
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$10.68
Resistance Level
$10.89
Current Trend
Uptrend
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
20.67
Wall Street Target
$11.20
(+4.2%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
14.1%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
201.7%
Profit Margin
19.2%
Valuation Discount vs History
-2.1% cheaper
PE vs Historical
20.7 vs 22.0
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-2.1%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$10.52
(-2%)
2-Year Target
$10.30
(-4%)
3-Year Target
$10.09
(-6%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 21→22)
$10.73
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.3, Growth: 0.0%)
$11.60
(+8%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 20.7, Growth: 0.0%)
$10.75
(0%)
Bear:
(PE: 17.6, Growth: 0.0%)
$9.14
(-15%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
Trailing PE: 13.44 | Current EPS (TTM): $0.80
Bull Case
$7.69
(-28%)
Analyst growth -35.0%, PE expands to 14.8
Base Case
$6.99
(-35%)
Market implied -35.0%, PE stable at 13.4
Bear Case
$7.31
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 11.4
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 20.7 to 22.0
Stabilization Target:
$11.44
(+6.4%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+6.4%
Last updated: January 31, 2026 7:12 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 8:12 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 8:12 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is CTLP showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
2
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Gaurav Singal
SELL
14544 shares
2025-09-22
Gaurav Singal
SELL
200000 shares
2025-09-18
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Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's CTLP price and gamma walls.
