CTM Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
CTM - Castellum, Inc.
$0.92
-0.02 (-2.56%)
▼
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Last Updated: January 30, 2026
Earnings: Mar 10, 2026
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1 traders called CTM this week
100% bullish • 0 bearish
100% bullish • 0 bearish
Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: CTM shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
📊 HOLD: CTM shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: CTM is currently trading at $0.92, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $0.96 to $1.04. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 31.3) is in line with its historical norms (34.1). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 2.7% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, CTM is in a downtrend. Immediate support is located at $0.89, while resistance sits at $1.05.
Market Sentiment: CTM has a weak technical setup (25/100), with bearish trendlines and momentum suggesting caution for short-term entries. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $3.50 (+272.3%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, CTM is in a downtrend. Immediate support is located at $0.89, while resistance sits at $1.05.
Market Sentiment: CTM has a weak technical setup (25/100), with bearish trendlines and momentum suggesting caution for short-term entries. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $3.50 (+272.3%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Fair Price Range
$0.96 -
$1.04
Company Quality Score
50/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
57.1%
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View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (25/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 272.3% below Wall St target ($3.50)
- CAUTION: 5-day price weakness (-7.5%) - monitor closely
Fair Price Analysis
30-Day Fair Range
$0.96 -
$1.04
Current vs Fair Value
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$0.89
Resistance Level
$1.05
Current Trend
Downtrend
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
31.34
Wall Street Target
$3.50
(+272.3%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
25.9%
Profit Margin
-7.5%
Valuation Discount vs History
-2.7% cheaper
PE vs Historical
31.3 vs 34.1
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-2.7%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$0.91
(-3%)
2-Year Target
$0.89
(-5%)
3-Year Target
$0.87
(-8%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 31→34)
$0.94
(+0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 31.3, Growth: 50.0%)
$3.17
(+238%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 22.3, Growth: 50.0%)
$2.26
(+140%)
Bear:
(PE: 19.0, Growth: 50.0%)
$1.92
(+104%)
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 31.3 to 34.1
Stabilization Target:
$1.02
(+8.8%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+8.8%
Last updated: January 31, 2026 9:30 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 10:30 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 10:30 AM
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