CTRA Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

CTRA - Coterra Energy Inc.

CRUDE PETROLEUM & NATURAL GAS
$28.85
0.79 (2.82%) β–²
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
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Last Updated: January 30, 2026
Earnings: Feb 23, 2026 23d

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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πŸ’‘
Bottom Line:
πŸ“Š HOLD: CTRA trades at premium valuation expecting 6.5% growth. Hold existing positions but don't chase. Wait for better entry.

Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$28.07
Based on 3.9% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$17.43
Trading above fair value

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 10.4x Exit PE.

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: CTRA is currently trading at $28.85, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $25.24 to $27.30. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 12.6) compared to its historical average (10.4). At these levels, the market is pricing in 6.5% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.

Technical Outlook: Technically, CTRA is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $29.06. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.

Market Sentiment: CTRA has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $32.24 (+14.9%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position EXTENDED
Fair Price Range $25.24 - $27.30
Company Quality Score 61/100 (BUY)
Volume Confirmation HIGH
Confidence Score 53.8%

Protect Your Profits

CTRA is technically overbought (RSI 74). Consider hedging now to protect against a potential pullback while keeping your upside.

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All Signals

  • BEARISH: Price extended above range (+5.7% above fair value)
  • BULLISH: Strong technical setup (60/100)
  • BULLISH: High volume confirmation
  • BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($32.24)
  • NEUTRAL: Trading at premium valuation - market expects 6.5% growth which is achievable

Fair Price Analysis

30-Day Fair Range $25.24 - $27.30
Current vs Fair Value EXTENDED

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $25.41
Resistance Level $29.06
Current Trend Strong Uptrend

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 12.56
Wall Street Target $32.24 (+14.9%)
Revenue Growth (YoY) 34.9%
Earnings Growth (YoY) 23.5%
Profit Margin 24.7%
Valuation Premium vs History +6.5% premium
PE vs Historical 12.6 vs 10.4 STRETCHED
Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY): +6.5% (market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target $29.88 (+7%)
2-Year Target $31.83 (+13%)
3-Year Target $33.90 (+21%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 13β†’10) PE COMPRESSION $28.07 (0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull: (PE: 22.3, Growth: 3.7%) $55.61 (+98%)
Base: (SPY PE: 12.6, Growth: 3.7%) $31.32 (+12%)
Bear: (PE: 10.4, Growth: 3.7%) $25.94 (-8%)
πŸ“ˆ Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (13x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (13x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 12.74 | Current EPS (TTM): $2.16
Bull Case $31.00 (+11%)
Analyst growth 2.4%, PE expands to 14.0
Base Case $28.18 (+0%)
Market implied 2.4%, PE stable at 12.7
Bear Case $18.71 (-33%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 10.8
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Last updated: January 30, 2026 4:04 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 5:04 PM
πŸ”₯ Top Stocks Breaking Out Now
Ticker Score Recommendation Change %
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL

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Advanced CTRA Option Strategies

Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's CTRA price and gamma walls.

Iron Condor Bull Call Bear Put Collar

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