DVN Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
DVN - Devon Energy Corporation
$47.24
0.34 (0.72%)
▲
5d:
+4.26%
30d:
+4.44%
90d:
+7.46%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: May 14, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: May 05, 2026
0d
Smart Money Accumulation
DVN is down 8.3% this week, but smart money is accumulating calls. Top strike: $50 2026-07-17 with 61,112 OI. Call ratio: 85% View Scanner →
Strength: 7.7/10
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3 traders called DVN this week
100% bullish • 0 bearish
100% bullish • 0 bearish
Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: DVN shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
📊 HOLD: DVN shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$78.98
Based on 7.0% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$49.04
3.7% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 9.9x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: DVN is currently trading at $47.24, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $45.62 to $49.75. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 8.3) compared to its historical average (9.9). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 5.6% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, DVN is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $44.20, while resistance sits at $51.95.
Market Sentiment: DVN has a weak technical setup (25/100), with bearish trendlines and momentum suggesting caution for short-term entries. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $59.42 (+25.8%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, DVN is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $44.20, while resistance sits at $51.95.
Market Sentiment: DVN has a weak technical setup (25/100), with bearish trendlines and momentum suggesting caution for short-term entries. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $59.42 (+25.8%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Historical Trading Range
$45.62 -
$49.75
Company Quality Score
54/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
50.0%
Protect Your Profits
Holding DVN? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (25/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 25.8% below Wall St target ($59.42)
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$45.62 -
$49.75
Current vs Trading Range
FAIR
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$44.20
Resistance Level
$51.95
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
May 14, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
8.32
Wall Street Target
$59.42
(+25.8%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-0.8%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-75.3%
Profit Margin
14.2%
Valuation Discount vs History
-5.6% cheaper
PE vs Historical
8.3 vs 9.9
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-5.6%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$44.59
(-6%)
2-Year Target
$42.10
(-11%)
3-Year Target
$39.74
(-16%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 8→10)
$47.31
(+0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.0, Growth: 10.1%)
$166.94
(+253%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 8.3, Growth: 10.1%)
$62.99
(+33%)
Bear:
(PE: 7.1, Growth: 10.1%)
$53.54
(+13%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (13x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (8x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 13.06 | Current EPS (TTM): $3.59
Bull Case
$81.63
(+73%)
Analyst growth 58.2%, PE expands to 14.4
Base Case
$74.21
(+57%)
Market implied 58.2%, PE stable at 13.1
Bear Case
$31.89
(-33%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 11.1
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 8.3 to 9.9
Stabilization Target:
$56.24
(+19.0%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+19.0%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: May 14, 2026 6:39 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:39 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:39 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is DVN showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
1
Buys
0
Sells
+
Net
NEUTRAL
Recent Transactions
Julia Letlow
BUY
2025-12-08
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Advanced DVN Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's DVN price and gamma walls.
