CYBR Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

CYBR - CyberArk Software Ltd.

Services-Prepackaged Software
$430.83
1.68 (0.39%) ▲
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
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Last Updated: January 30, 2026
Earnings: Feb 12, 2026 12d

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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💡
Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: CYBR shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.

Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$229.89
Based on 13.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$142.75
Trading above fair value

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: CYBR is currently trading at $430.83, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $441.22 to $458.66. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 87.1) is in line with its historical norms (91.3). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 1.5% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 76.0% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.

Technical Outlook: Technically, CYBR is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $418.93. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.

Market Sentiment: CYBR has a weak technical setup (25/100), with bearish trendlines and momentum suggesting caution for short-term entries. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $485.24 (+13.1%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position OVERSOLD
Fair Price Range $441.22 - $458.66
Company Quality Score 59/100 (HOLD)
Volume Confirmation HIGH
Confidence Score 54.8%

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All Signals

  • BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
  • BEARISH: Weak technical setup (25/100)
  • BULLISH: High volume confirmation
  • BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($485.24)

Fair Price Analysis

30-Day Fair Range $441.22 - $458.66
Current vs Fair Value OVERSOLD

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $418.93
Resistance Level $458.00
Current Trend Strong Uptrend

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 87.13
Wall Street Target $485.24 (+13.1%)
Revenue Growth (YoY) 42.8%
Earnings Growth (YoY) 76.0%
Profit Margin -17.4%
Valuation Discount vs History -1.5% cheaper
PE vs Historical 87.1 vs 91.3 FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY): -1.5% (market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target $422.71 (-2%)
2-Year Target $416.37 (-3%)
3-Year Target $410.13 (-4%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 87→91) $429.74 (+0%)
3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull: (PE: 87.1, Growth: 23.0%) $797.71 (+86%)
Base: (SPY PE: 22.3, Growth: 23.0%) $204.16 (-52%)
Bear: (PE: 19.0, Growth: 23.0%) $173.53 (-60%)
💡 Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 87.1 to 91.3
Stabilization Target: $449.67 (+4.8%)
PE Expansion Potential: +4.8%
Last updated: January 30, 2026 4:13 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 5:13 PM
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Ticker Score Recommendation Change %
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL

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Advanced CYBR Option Strategies

Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's CYBR price and gamma walls.

Iron Condor Bull Call Bear Put Collar

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